SM
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Ross County win with a probability of 38.76%. A win for Aberdeen had a probability of 37.1% and a draw had a probability of 24.1%.
The most likely scoreline for a Ross County win was 2-1 with a probability of 8.5%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (7.39%) and 2-0 (5.68%). The likeliest Aberdeen win was 1-2 (8.29%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (11.07%). The actual scoreline of 1-2 was predicted with an 8.3% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole correctly predicted that Aberdeen would win this match.
| Result | ||
| Ross County | Draw | Aberdeen |
38.76% ( -0.41) | 24.14% ( -0.09) | 37.1% ( 0.49) |
| Both teams to score 60.93% ( 0.37) |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 58.43% ( 0.46) | 41.57% ( -0.47) |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 36.03% ( 0.47) | 63.96% ( -0.47) |
| Ross County Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 78.48% ( 0) | 21.52% ( -0.01) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 45.42% ( 0.01) | 54.58% ( -0.01) |
| Aberdeen Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 77.64% ( 0.46) | 22.36% ( -0.47) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 44.14% ( 0.69) | 55.86% ( -0.7) |
| Score Analysis |
| Ross County | Draw | Aberdeen |
| 2-1 @ 8.5% ( -0.06) 1-0 @ 7.39% ( -0.16)2-0 @ 5.68% ( -0.12)3-1 @ 4.35% ( -0.03)3-2 @ 3.26% ( 0.02)3-0 @ 2.91% ( -0.06)4-1 @ 1.67% ( -0.01)4-2 @ 1.25% ( 0.01)4-0 @ 1.12% ( -0.02)Other @ 2.63% Total : 38.76% | 1-1 @ 11.07% ( -0.08) 2-2 @ 6.37% ( 0.05)0-0 @ 4.81% ( -0.1)3-3 @ 1.63% ( 0.03)Other @ 0.26% Total : 24.14% | 1-2 @ 8.29% ( 0.06) 0-1 @ 7.21% ( -0.05)0-2 @ 5.4% ( 0.04)1-3 @ 4.14% ( 0.09)2-3 @ 3.18% ( 0.07)0-3 @ 2.7% ( 0.06)1-4 @ 1.55% ( 0.05)2-4 @ 1.19% ( 0.04)0-4 @ 1.01% ( 0.03)Other @ 2.43% Total : 37.1% |
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