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Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Accrington Stanley win with a probability of 42.9%. A win for Grimsby Town had a probability of 32.71% and a draw had a probability of 24.4%.
The most likely scoreline for an Accrington Stanley win was 2-1 with a probability of 9%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (8.35%) and 2-0 (6.63%). The likeliest Grimsby Town win was 1-2 (7.69%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (11.33%). The actual scoreline of 0-0 was predicted with a 5.3% likelihood.
| Result | ||
| Accrington Stanley | Draw | Grimsby Town |
42.9% ( 0.74) | 24.38% ( -0.19) | 32.71% ( -0.55) |
| Both teams to score 59.07% ( 0.49) |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 56.42% ( 0.72) | 43.57% ( -0.73) |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 34.03% ( 0.71) | 65.96% ( -0.71) |
| Accrington Stanley Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 79.55% ( 0.64) | 20.45% ( -0.64) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 47.09% ( 1.01) | 52.9% ( -1.01) |
| Grimsby Town Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 74.26% ( 0.02) | 25.74% ( -0.02) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 39.33% ( 0.02) | 60.67% ( -0.03) |
| Score Analysis |
| Accrington Stanley | Draw | Grimsby Town |
| 2-1 @ 9% ( 0.07) 1-0 @ 8.35% ( -0.1)2-0 @ 6.63% ( 0.05)3-1 @ 4.76% ( 0.13)3-0 @ 3.51% ( 0.1)3-2 @ 3.23% ( 0.09)4-1 @ 1.89% ( 0.09)4-0 @ 1.39% ( 0.06)4-2 @ 1.28% ( 0.06)Other @ 2.86% Total : 42.9% | 1-1 @ 11.33% ( -0.13) 2-2 @ 6.11% ( 0.05)0-0 @ 5.26% ( -0.17)3-3 @ 1.46% ( 0.04)Other @ 0.22% Total : 24.38% | 1-2 @ 7.69% ( -0.09) 0-1 @ 7.14% ( -0.23)0-2 @ 4.85% ( -0.15)1-3 @ 3.48% ( -0.04)2-3 @ 2.76% ( 0.02)0-3 @ 2.19% ( -0.07)1-4 @ 1.18% ( -0.01)2-4 @ 0.94% ( 0.01)Other @ 2.48% Total : 32.71% |
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