Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Accrington Stanley win with a probability of 42.9%. A win for Grimsby Town had a probability of 32.71% and a draw had a probability of 24.4%.
The most likely scoreline for an Accrington Stanley win was 2-1 with a probability of 9%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (8.35%) and 2-0 (6.63%). The likeliest Grimsby Town win was 1-2 (7.69%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (11.33%). The actual scoreline of 0-0 was predicted with a 5.3% likelihood.
0.74) 
-0.19) 
