After a rough run of results, Salford and Grimsby will head into Friday's game looking to pick up a morale-boosting result ahead of the new year. While both sides are evenly matched on paper, we predict that the Ammies will come away with all three points against a Grimsby side who are yet to taste victory away from home this season.
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Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Grimsby Town win with a probability of 44.23%. A win for Salford City had a probability of 32.01% and a draw had a probability of 23.8%.
The most likely scoreline for a Grimsby Town win was 1-2 with a probability of 9.09%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 0-1 (7.8%) and 0-2 (6.53%). The likeliest Salford City win was 2-1 (7.56%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (10.86%). The actual scoreline of 0-3 was predicted with a 3.6% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Grimsby Town would win this match.
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