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EFL Trophy | Second Round
Nov 22, 2022 at 7.30pm UK
Blundell Park
AS

Grimsby Town
0 - 1
Accrington


Morris (65'), Smith (89')
FT(HT: 0-0)
Leigh (66' pen.)
Whalley (56'), Rodgers (90')

Form, Standings, Stats

We said: Grimsby Town 2-1 Accrington Stanley

Looking at past results between the sides, we anticipate a thrilling contest with plenty of goalmouth action. Grimsby Town have been solid in front of their home fans in recent weeks and we predict they will do just enough to come away victorious on Tuesday. Read more.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Accrington Stanley win with a probability of 38%. A win for Grimsby Town had a probability of 37.11% and a draw had a probability of 24.9%.

The most likely scoreline for an Accrington Stanley win was 1-2 with a probability of 8.44%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 0-1 (8.15%) and 0-2 (5.91%). The likeliest Grimsby Town win was 2-1 (8.32%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (11.64%). The actual scoreline of 0-1 was predicted with an 8.2% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Accrington Stanley would win this match.

Result
Grimsby TownDrawAccrington Stanley
37.11% (0.024000000000001 0.02) 24.88% (0.0010000000000012 0) 38% (-0.024999999999999 -0.02)
Both teams to score 58.18% (-0.0030000000000001 -0)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
54.88% (-0.0060000000000002 -0.01)45.12% (0.0060000000000002 0.01)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
32.53% (-0.0060000000000002 -0.01)67.47% (0.007000000000005 0.01)
Grimsby Town Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
76.04% (0.010999999999996 0.01)23.96% (-0.010000000000002 -0.01)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
41.8% (0.012999999999998 0.01)58.19% (-0.012 -0.01)
Accrington Stanley Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
76.51% (-0.015000000000001 -0.02)23.48% (0.013000000000002 0.01)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
42.48% (-0.022999999999996 -0.02)57.51% (0.024000000000001 0.02)
Score Analysis
    Grimsby Town 37.11%
    Accrington Stanley 38%
    Draw 24.88%
Grimsby TownDrawAccrington Stanley
2-1 @ 8.32% (0.0039999999999996 0)
1-0 @ 8.04% (0.0039999999999996 0)
2-0 @ 5.74% (0.0049999999999999 0)
3-1 @ 3.96% (0.0020000000000002 0)
3-2 @ 2.87% (0.00099999999999989 0)
3-0 @ 2.74% (0.0030000000000001 0)
4-1 @ 1.42% (0.002 0)
4-2 @ 1.03%
4-0 @ 0.98% (0.001 0)
Other @ 2.02%
Total : 37.11%
1-1 @ 11.64%
2-2 @ 6.03%
0-0 @ 5.63% (0.00099999999999945 0)
3-3 @ 1.39% (-0.0010000000000001 -0)
Other @ 0.2%
Total : 24.88%
1-2 @ 8.44% (-0.0030000000000001 -0)
0-1 @ 8.15% (-0.00099999999999945 -0)
0-2 @ 5.91% (-0.0039999999999996 -0)
1-3 @ 4.08% (-0.0030000000000001 -0)
2-3 @ 2.91% (-0.0019999999999998 -0)
0-3 @ 2.85% (-0.0030000000000001 -0)
1-4 @ 1.48% (-0.002 -0)
2-4 @ 1.05% (-0.00099999999999989 -0)
0-4 @ 1.03% (-0.002 -0)
Other @ 2.11%
Total : 38%

Read more!
Read more!
Form Guide
Last Game: Grimsby Town 1-1 Stevenage
Saturday, November 19 at 3pm in League Two
Last Game: Grimsby Town 1-3 Doncaster
Saturday, November 12 at 3pm in League Two
Last Game: Grimsby Town 1-1 Man City U21s (4-2 pen.)
Tuesday, November 8 at 7.30pm in EFL Trophy
Last Game: Grimsby Town 5-1 Plymouth
Saturday, November 5 at 3pm in FA Cup
Last Game: Hartlepool 2-1 Grimsby Town
Saturday, October 29 at 3pm in League Two
Last Game: Barrow 1-0 Grimsby Town
Tuesday, October 25 at 7.45pm in League Two
Last Game: Cambridge 0-1 Accrington
Saturday, November 19 at 3pm in League One
Last Game: Accrington 0-1 Sheff Weds
Saturday, November 12 at 3pm in League One
Last Game: Crawley 1-4 Accrington
Saturday, November 5 at 3pm in FA Cup
Last Game: Lincoln 1-1 Accrington
Tuesday, November 1 at 7.45pm in League One
Last Game: Fleetwood 3-0 Accrington
Saturday, October 29 at 3pm in League One
Last Game: Peterborough 3-1 Accrington
Tuesday, October 25 at 7.45pm in League One


Sports Mole provides in-depth previews and predictions for every match from the biggest leagues and competitions in world football.
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