SM
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Alanyaspor win with a probability of 50.01%. A win for Adana Demirspor had a probability of 27.48% and a draw had a probability of 22.5%.
The most likely scoreline for an Alanyaspor win was 1-2 with a probability of 9.46%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 0-1 (7.52%) and 0-2 (7.05%). The likeliest Adana Demirspor win was 2-1 (6.76%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (10.08%). The actual scoreline of 0-2 was predicted with a 7% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Alanyaspor would win this match.
| Result | ||
| Adana Demirspor | Draw | Alanyaspor |
27.48% ( 1.11) | 22.51% ( 0.27) | 50.01% ( -1.38) |
| Both teams to score 62.54% ( 0.05) |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 62.37% ( -0.38) | 37.63% ( 0.39) |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 40.13% ( -0.41) | 59.87% ( 0.42) |
| Adana Demirspor Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 73.85% ( 0.58) | 26.15% ( -0.57) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 38.78% ( 0.77) | 61.22% ( -0.76) |
| Alanyaspor Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 84.68% ( -0.6) | 15.32% ( 0.61) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 55.93% ( -1.15) | 44.07% ( 1.15) |
| Score Analysis |
| Adana Demirspor | Draw | Alanyaspor |
| 2-1 @ 6.76% ( 0.2) 1-0 @ 5.37% ( 0.19)2-0 @ 3.61% ( 0.18)3-1 @ 3.02% ( 0.14)3-2 @ 2.84% ( 0.07)3-0 @ 1.61% ( 0.11)4-1 @ 1.01% ( 0.06)4-2 @ 0.95% ( 0.04)Other @ 2.3% Total : 27.48% | 1-1 @ 10.08% ( 0.14) 2-2 @ 6.34% ( 0.05)0-0 @ 4.01% ( 0.07)3-3 @ 1.77% ( 0.01)Other @ 0.31% Total : 22.51% | 1-2 @ 9.46% ( -0.07) 0-1 @ 7.52% ( -0.02)0-2 @ 7.05% ( -0.17)1-3 @ 5.91% ( -0.17)0-3 @ 4.41% ( -0.2)2-3 @ 3.97% ( -0.05)1-4 @ 2.77% ( -0.14)0-4 @ 2.07% ( -0.14)2-4 @ 1.86% ( -0.06)1-5 @ 1.04% ( -0.08)Other @ 3.97% Total : 50.01% |
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