SM
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Istanbul Basaksehir win with a probability of 58.42%. A draw had a probability of 22.1% and a win for Alanyaspor had a probability of 19.46%.
The most likely scoreline for a Istanbul Basaksehir win was 1-0 with a probability of 10.48%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (9.96%) and 2-1 (9.93%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (10.46%), while for an Alanyaspor win it was 0-1 (5.51%). The actual scoreline of 4-2 was predicted with a 1.5% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole and our data analysis both correctly predicted that Istanbul Basaksehir would win this match.
| Result | ||
| Istanbul Basaksehir | Draw | Alanyaspor |
58.42% ( 0.11) | 22.12% ( -0.06) | 19.46% ( -0.05) |
| Both teams to score 53.66% ( 0.09) |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 55.3% ( 0.16) | 44.69% ( -0.17) |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 32.94% ( 0.16) | 67.06% ( -0.16) |
| Istanbul Basaksehir Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 85.01% ( 0.09) | 14.98% ( -0.09) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 56.57% ( 0.17) | 43.42% ( -0.18) |
| Alanyaspor Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 63.12% ( 0.04) | 36.88% ( -0.04) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 26.33% ( 0.04) | 73.66% ( -0.05) |
| Score Analysis |
| Istanbul Basaksehir | Draw | Alanyaspor |
| 1-0 @ 10.48% ( -0.05) 2-0 @ 9.96% ( -0.01)2-1 @ 9.93% ( 0)3-0 @ 6.3% ( 0.02)3-1 @ 6.28% ( 0.02)3-2 @ 3.13% ( 0.01)4-0 @ 2.99% ( 0.02)4-1 @ 2.98% ( 0.02)4-2 @ 1.49% ( 0.01)5-0 @ 1.14% ( 0.01)5-1 @ 1.13% ( 0.01)Other @ 2.61% Total : 58.42% | 1-1 @ 10.46% ( -0.03) 0-0 @ 5.53% ( -0.04)2-2 @ 4.95% ( 0.01)3-3 @ 1.04% ( 0.01)Other @ 0.13% Total : 22.11% | 0-1 @ 5.51% ( -0.03) 1-2 @ 5.22% ( -0.01)0-2 @ 2.75% ( -0.01)1-3 @ 1.74% ( -0)2-3 @ 1.65% ( 0)0-3 @ 0.91% ( -0)Other @ 1.68% Total : 19.46% |
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