SM
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Fenerbahce win with a probability of 74.23%. A draw had a probability of 15.9% and a win for Alanyaspor had a probability of 9.91%.
The most likely scoreline for a Fenerbahce win was 2-0 with a probability of 11.71%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 3-0 (9.65%) and 1-0 (9.48%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (7.48%), while for an Alanyaspor win it was 0-1 (3.03%). The actual scoreline of 3-0 was predicted with a 9.7% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole and our data analysis both correctly predicted that Fenerbahce would win this match.
| Result | ||
| Fenerbahce | Draw | Alanyaspor |
74.23% ( -0.34) | 15.86% ( 0.17) | 9.91% ( 0.18) |
| Both teams to score 49.98% ( 0.08) |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 63.27% ( -0.25) | 36.73% ( 0.26) |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 41.1% ( -0.28) | 58.9% ( 0.28) |
| Fenerbahce Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 91.55% ( -0.14) | 8.44% ( 0.14) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 70.68% ( -0.34) | 29.32% ( 0.34) |
| Alanyaspor Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 54.59% ( 0.17) | 45.41% ( -0.17) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 18.74% ( 0.14) | 81.26% ( -0.13) |
| Score Analysis |
| Fenerbahce | Draw | Alanyaspor |
| 2-0 @ 11.71% ( -0.01) 3-0 @ 9.65% ( -0.07)1-0 @ 9.48% ( 0.06)2-1 @ 9.25% ( 0.04)3-1 @ 7.62% ( -0.02)4-0 @ 5.96% ( -0.08)4-1 @ 4.71% ( -0.04)3-2 @ 3.01% ( 0.01)5-0 @ 2.95% ( -0.06)5-1 @ 2.33% ( -0.04)4-2 @ 1.86% ( -0.01)6-0 @ 1.21% ( -0.03)6-1 @ 0.96% ( -0.02)5-2 @ 0.92% ( -0.01)Other @ 2.62% Total : 74.22% | 1-1 @ 7.48% ( 0.08) 0-0 @ 3.84% ( 0.05)2-2 @ 3.65% ( 0.03)Other @ 0.9% Total : 15.86% | 0-1 @ 3.03% ( 0.05) 1-2 @ 2.95% ( 0.05)0-2 @ 1.2% ( 0.03)2-3 @ 0.96% ( 0.01)Other @ 1.77% Total : 9.91% |
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