SM
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Istanbul Basaksehir win with a probability of 38.53%. A win for Adana Demirspor had a probability of 36.68% and a draw had a probability of 24.8%.
The most likely scoreline for a Istanbul Basaksehir win was 1-2 with a probability of 8.51%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 0-1 (8.11%) and 0-2 (5.96%). The likeliest Adana Demirspor win was 2-1 (8.27%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (11.57%). The actual scoreline of 2-6 was predicted with a 0.1% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole and our data analysis both correctly predicted that Istanbul Basaksehir would win this match.
| Result | ||
| Adana Demirspor | Draw | Istanbul Basaksehir |
36.68% ( 0.19) | 24.78% ( 0.02) | 38.53% ( -0.22) |
| Both teams to score 58.54% ( -0.07) |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 55.35% ( -0.1) | 44.65% ( 0.09) |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 32.98% ( -0.1) | 67.01% ( 0.09) |
| Adana Demirspor Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 76.02% ( 0.06) | 23.98% ( -0.06) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 41.78% ( 0.08) | 58.21% ( -0.09) |
| Istanbul Basaksehir Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 77% ( -0.16) | 23% ( 0.15) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 43.19% ( -0.23) | 56.81% ( 0.22) |
| Score Analysis |
| Adana Demirspor | Draw | Istanbul Basaksehir |
| 2-1 @ 8.27% ( 0.03) 1-0 @ 7.88% ( 0.05)2-0 @ 5.62% ( 0.04)3-1 @ 3.94% ( 0.02)3-2 @ 2.89% ( 0)3-0 @ 2.68% ( 0.02)4-1 @ 1.41% ( 0.01)4-2 @ 1.03% ( 0)4-0 @ 0.96% ( 0.01)Other @ 2.02% Total : 36.68% | 1-1 @ 11.57% ( 0.02) 2-2 @ 6.07% ( -0.01)0-0 @ 5.52% ( 0.02)3-3 @ 1.42% ( -0.01)Other @ 0.2% Total : 24.78% | 1-2 @ 8.51% ( -0.03) 0-1 @ 8.11% ( -0)0-2 @ 5.96% ( -0.03)1-3 @ 4.17% ( -0.03)2-3 @ 2.98% ( -0.02)0-3 @ 2.92% ( -0.03)1-4 @ 1.53% ( -0.02)2-4 @ 1.09% ( -0.01)0-4 @ 1.07% ( -0.01)Other @ 2.22% Total : 38.53% |
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