Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Adana Demirspor win with a probability of 52.8%. A win for Osijek had a probability of 24.7% and a draw had a probability of 22.5%.
The most likely scoreline for an Adana Demirspor win was 2-1 with a probability of 9.71%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (8.45%) and 2-0 (7.95%). The likeliest Osijek win was 1-2 (6.31%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (10.32%). The actual scoreline of 5-1 was predicted with a 1.1% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Adana Demirspor would win this match.