SM
| Team | Goals scored | Avg per game | Top scorer | |
| 1 | Ayr | 16 | 1.78 | Dowds |
| 2 | Falkirk | 13 | 1.63 | Mackie |
| 3 | Livingston | 10 | 1.25 | Pittman |
| 4 | Hamilton | 9 | 1.00 | Shaw |
| 5 | Queen's Park | 9 | 1.13 | Rudden |
| 6 | Morton | 7 | 0.88 | Baird |
| 7 | Partick | 6 | 0.75 | Fitzpatrick |
| 8 | Airdrieonians | 5 | 0.63 | Reid |
| 9 | Dunfermline | 5 | 0.63 | Otoo |
| 10 | Raith Rovers | 5 | 0.63 | Easton |
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Airdrieonians win with a probability of 40.45%. A win for East Kilbride had a probability of 36.41% and a draw had a probability of 23.1%.
The most likely scoreline for an Airdrieonians win was 2-1 with a probability of 8.55%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (6.42%) and 2-0 (5.39%). The likeliest East Kilbride win was 1-2 (8.06%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (10.17%). The actual scoreline of 1-1 was predicted with a 10.2% likelihood.
| Result | ||
| Airdrieonians | Draw | East Kilbride |
40.45% ( -1.16) | 23.14% ( 0.11) | 36.41% ( 1.06) |
| Both teams to score 64.69% ( -0.21) |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 63.36% ( -0.35) | 36.64% ( 0.35) |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 41.2% ( -0.39) | 58.8% ( 0.39) |
| Airdrieonians Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 81.37% ( -0.64) | 18.63% ( 0.65) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 50.06% ( -1.09) | 49.94% ( 1.09) |
| East Kilbride Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 79.5% ( 0.37) | 20.5% ( -0.37) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 47.02% ( 0.58) | 52.98% ( -0.58) |
| Score Analysis |
| Airdrieonians | Draw | East Kilbride |
| 2-1 @ 8.55% ( -0.11) 1-0 @ 6.42% ( -0.02)2-0 @ 5.39% ( -0.13)3-1 @ 4.79% ( -0.16)3-2 @ 3.79% ( -0.09)3-0 @ 3.02% ( -0.14)4-1 @ 2.01% ( -0.11)4-2 @ 1.59% ( -0.07)4-0 @ 1.27% ( -0.09)Other @ 3.63% Total : 40.45% | 1-1 @ 10.17% ( 0.09) 2-2 @ 6.77% ( -0.01)0-0 @ 3.82% ( 0.07)3-3 @ 2% ( -0.02)Other @ 0.37% Total : 23.14% | 1-2 @ 8.06% ( 0.15) 0-1 @ 6.05% ( 0.17)0-2 @ 4.8% ( 0.19)1-3 @ 4.26% ( 0.13)2-3 @ 3.58% ( 0.04)0-3 @ 2.53% ( 0.13)1-4 @ 1.69% ( 0.07)2-4 @ 1.42% ( 0.03)0-4 @ 1% ( 0.06)Other @ 3.03% Total : 36.41% |
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