SM
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Greenock Morton win with a probability of 41.96%. A win for Airdrieonians had a probability of 32.14% and a draw had a probability of 25.9%.
The most likely scoreline for a Greenock Morton win was 1-0 with a probability of 10.07%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (8.82%) and 2-0 (7.22%). The likeliest Airdrieonians win was 0-1 (8.58%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.3%). The actual scoreline of 2-0 was predicted with a 7.2% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Greenock Morton would win this match.
| Result | ||
| Greenock Morton | Draw | Airdrieonians |
41.96% ( 0.38) | 25.89% ( -0.02) | 32.14% ( -0.35) |
| Both teams to score 53.72% ( -0.05) |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 49.55% ( -0.01) | 50.44% ( 0.01) |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 27.62% ( -0.01) | 72.37% ( 0.01) |
| Greenock Morton Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 76.16% ( 0.19) | 23.84% ( -0.18) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 41.98% ( 0.26) | 58.02% ( -0.26) |
| Airdrieonians Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 70.54% ( -0.24) | 29.46% ( 0.24) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 34.53% ( -0.29) | 65.46% ( 0.29) |
| Score Analysis |
| Greenock Morton | Draw | Airdrieonians |
| 1-0 @ 10.07% ( 0.06) 2-1 @ 8.82% ( 0.04)2-0 @ 7.22% ( 0.08)3-1 @ 4.22% ( 0.04)3-0 @ 3.45% ( 0.06)3-2 @ 2.58% ( 0.01)4-1 @ 1.51% ( 0.02)4-0 @ 1.24% ( 0.03)4-2 @ 0.92% ( 0.01)Other @ 1.93% Total : 41.96% | 1-1 @ 12.3% ( -0.01) 0-0 @ 7.02% ( 0)2-2 @ 5.39% ( -0.01)3-3 @ 1.05% ( -0)Other @ 0.12% Total : 25.89% | 0-1 @ 8.58% ( -0.05) 1-2 @ 7.52% ( -0.06)0-2 @ 5.24% ( -0.07)1-3 @ 3.06% ( -0.04)2-3 @ 2.2% ( -0.02)0-3 @ 2.14% ( -0.04)1-4 @ 0.94% ( -0.02)Other @ 2.47% Total : 32.15% |
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