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Scottish Challenge Cup | Third Round
Sep 7, 2024 at 3pm UK
Palmerston Park
A

QotS
0 - 3
Airdrieonians


Cochrane (45+1'), Walker (51'), Johnstone (61')
FT(HT: 0-1)
Frizzell (9'), Mochrie (64'), McGregor (71')
Gallagher (30'), Bruce (48'), Cooper (74')
Coverage of the Scottish Challenge Cup Third Round clash between Queen of the South and Airdrieonians.

Form, Standings, Stats

Last Game: Inverness 1-0 QotS
Saturday, August 31 at 3pm in Scottish League One
Last Game: Hamilton 2-2 Airdrieonians
Saturday, August 31 at 3pm in Scottish Championship

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Airdrieonians win with a probability of 49.55%. A win for Queen of the South had a probability of 27.24% and a draw had a probability of 23.2%.

The most likely scoreline for an Airdrieonians win was 1-2 with a probability of 9.54%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 0-1 (8.42%) and 0-2 (7.51%). The likeliest Queen of the South win was 2-1 (6.78%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (10.68%). The actual scoreline of 0-3 was predicted with a 4.5% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Airdrieonians would win this match.

Result
Queen of the SouthDrawAirdrieonians
27.24% (-0.033000000000001 -0.03) 23.21% (0.0019999999999989 0) 49.55% (0.031999999999996 0.03)
Both teams to score 59.84% (-0.036000000000001 -0.04)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
58.9% (-0.036999999999999 -0.04)41.1% (0.036999999999999 0.04)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
36.51% (-0.037999999999997 -0.04)63.49% (0.036999999999999 0.04)
Queen of the South Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
71.89% (-0.042000000000002 -0.04)28.1% (0.042000000000002 0.04)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
36.22% (-0.054000000000002 -0.05)63.78% (0.055 0.05)
Airdrieonians Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
83.23%16.76% (0.00099999999999767 0)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
53.29% (-0.0019999999999953 -0)46.7% (0.0039999999999978 0)
Score Analysis
    Queen of the South 27.24%
    Airdrieonians 49.55%
    Draw 23.21%
Queen of the SouthDrawAirdrieonians
2-1 @ 6.78% (-0.0050000000000008 -0.01)
1-0 @ 5.98% (0.0030000000000001 0)
2-0 @ 3.8% (-0.0030000000000001 -0)
3-1 @ 2.87% (-0.0060000000000002 -0.01)
3-2 @ 2.56% (-0.0059999999999998 -0.01)
3-0 @ 1.61% (-0.0029999999999999 -0)
4-1 @ 0.91% (-0.003 -0)
Other @ 2.75%
Total : 27.24%
1-1 @ 10.68% (0.0099999999999998 0.01)
2-2 @ 6.05% (-0.0050000000000008 -0.01)
0-0 @ 4.71% (0.008 0.01)
3-3 @ 1.52% (-0.004 -0)
Other @ 0.24%
Total : 23.21%
1-2 @ 9.54% (0.0030000000000001 0)
0-1 @ 8.42% (0.013999999999999 0.01)
0-2 @ 7.51% (0.011 0.01)
1-3 @ 5.68% (0.00099999999999945 0)
0-3 @ 4.47% (0.0060000000000002 0.01)
2-3 @ 3.6% (-0.0029999999999997 -0)
1-4 @ 2.54% (0.0010000000000003 0)
0-4 @ 2% (0.0030000000000001 0)
2-4 @ 1.61% (-0.0010000000000001 -0)
1-5 @ 0.91%
Other @ 3.29%
Total : 49.55%

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Form Guide
Last Game: Inverness 1-0 QotS
Saturday, August 31 at 3pm in Scottish League One
Last Game: Montrose 1-0 QotS
Saturday, August 24 at 5.30pm in Scottish League One
Last Game: QotS 2-0 Annan
Saturday, August 17 at 3pm in Scottish League One
Last Game: QotS 2-1 Cove Rangers
Saturday, August 10 at 3pm in Scottish League One
Last Game: Alloa 0-0 QotS
Saturday, August 3 at 3pm in Scottish League One
Last Game: Airdrieonians 2-0 QotS
Saturday, July 27 at 3pm in Scottish League Cup
Last Game: Hamilton 2-2 Airdrieonians
Saturday, August 31 at 3pm in Scottish Championship
Last Game: Airdrieonians 0-2 Queen's Park
Saturday, August 24 at 3pm in Scottish Championship
Last Game: Dundee 6-1 Airdrieonians
Saturday, August 17 at 3pm in Scottish League Cup
Last Game: Ayr 5-0 Airdrieonians
Friday, August 9 at 7.45pm in Scottish Championship
Last Game: Airdrieonians 1-0 Raith Rovers
Saturday, August 3 at 3pm in Scottish Championship
Last Game: Airdrieonians 2-0 QotS
Saturday, July 27 at 3pm in Scottish League Cup


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