Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Auxerre win with a probability of 55.95%. A draw had a probability of 23.3% and a win for Quevilly had a probability of 20.72%.
The most likely scoreline for an Auxerre win was 1-0 with a probability of 11.32%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (10.02%) and 2-1 (9.81%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (11.08%), while for a Quevilly win it was 0-1 (6.27%). The actual scoreline of 3-2 was predicted with a 2.8% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Auxerre would win this match.