Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Guingamp win with a probability of 43.09%. A win for Quevilly had a probability of 28.98% and a draw had a probability of 27.9%.
The most likely scoreline for a Guingamp win was 1-0 with a probability of 12.89%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (8.46%) and 2-0 (8.37%). The likeliest Quevilly win was 0-1 (10.04%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (13.03%). The actual scoreline of 2-2 was predicted with a 4.3% likelihood.