Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Caen win with a probability of 43.41%. A win for Quevilly had a probability of 29.97% and a draw had a probability of 26.6%.
The most likely scoreline for a Caen win was 1-0 with a probability of 11.35%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (8.82%) and 2-0 (7.93%). The likeliest Quevilly win was 0-1 (9.05%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.64%). The actual scoreline of 3-3 was predicted with a 0.8% likelihood.
0) 
-0.02) 
