Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Auxerre win with a probability of 40.96%. A win for Bastia had a probability of 32.82% and a draw had a probability of 26.2%.
The most likely scoreline for an Auxerre win was 0-1 with a probability of 10.23%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-2 (8.68%) and 0-2 (7.12%). The likeliest Bastia win was 1-0 (8.95%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.46%). The actual scoreline of 0-0 was predicted with a 7.3% likelihood.
-0.1) 
0) 
