Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Auxerre win with a probability of 41.68%. A win for Paris FC had a probability of 33.72% and a draw had a probability of 24.6%.
The most likely scoreline for an Auxerre win was 1-2 with a probability of 8.87%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 0-1 (8.39%) and 0-2 (6.49%). The likeliest Paris FC win was 2-1 (7.85%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (11.47%). The actual scoreline of 0-2 was predicted with a 6.5% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Auxerre would win this match.
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