SM
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Akron Tolyatti win with a probability of 41.05%. A win for Khimki had a probability of 34.08% and a draw had a probability of 24.9%.
The most likely scoreline for an Akron Tolyatti win was 2-1 with a probability of 8.8%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (8.61%) and 2-0 (6.5%). The likeliest Khimki win was 1-2 (7.9%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (11.66%). The actual scoreline of 3-0 was predicted with a 3.3% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Akron Tolyatti would win this match.
| Result | ||
| Akron Tolyatti | Draw | Khimki |
41.05% ( 0.46) | 24.87% ( -0.07) | 34.08% ( -0.39) |
| Both teams to score 57.79% ( 0.15) |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 54.56% ( 0.23) | 45.44% ( -0.23) |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 32.23% ( 0.22) | 67.77% ( -0.22) |
| Akron Tolyatti Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 77.9% ( 0.33) | 22.1% ( -0.32) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 44.54% ( 0.49) | 55.46% ( -0.48) |
| Khimki Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 74.19% ( -0.12) | 25.81% ( 0.12) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 39.23% ( -0.16) | 60.77% ( 0.17) |
| Score Analysis |
| Akron Tolyatti | Draw | Khimki |
| 2-1 @ 8.8% ( 0.05) 1-0 @ 8.61% ( -0)2-0 @ 6.5% ( 0.06)3-1 @ 4.43% ( 0.07)3-0 @ 3.27% ( 0.06)3-2 @ 3% ( 0.04)4-1 @ 1.67% ( 0.04)4-0 @ 1.23% ( 0.03)4-2 @ 1.13% ( 0.02)Other @ 2.4% Total : 41.05% | 1-1 @ 11.66% ( -0.04) 2-2 @ 5.96% ( 0.02)0-0 @ 5.7% ( -0.06)3-3 @ 1.35% ( 0.01)Other @ 0.19% Total : 24.87% | 1-2 @ 7.9% ( -0.06) 0-1 @ 7.73% ( -0.1)0-2 @ 5.23% ( -0.09)1-3 @ 3.57% ( -0.04)2-3 @ 2.69% ( -0)0-3 @ 2.36% ( -0.05)1-4 @ 1.21% ( -0.02)2-4 @ 0.91% ( -0)Other @ 2.49% Total : 34.08% |
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