SM
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a CSKA Moscow win with a probability of 50.09%. A draw had a probability of 25.1% and a win for Khimki had a probability of 24.84%.
The most likely scoreline for a CSKA Moscow win was 0-1 with a probability of 11.45%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-2 (9.47%) and 0-2 (9.1%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (11.92%), while for a Khimki win it was 1-0 (7.5%). The actual scoreline of 0-2 was predicted with a 9.1% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that CSKA Moscow would win this match.
| Result | ||
| Khimki | Draw | CSKA Moscow |
24.84% ( 0.11) | 25.07% ( 0.04) | 50.09% ( -0.15) |
| Both teams to score 51.47% ( -0.01) |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 48.9% ( -0.06) | 51.1% ( 0.06) |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 27.04% ( -0.06) | 72.96% ( 0.06) |
| Khimki Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 64.67% ( 0.06) | 35.33% ( -0.06) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 27.91% ( 0.07) | 72.09% ( -0.06) |
| CSKA Moscow Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 79.59% ( -0.09) | 20.41% ( 0.09) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 47.15% ( -0.14) | 52.85% ( 0.14) |
| Score Analysis |
| Khimki | Draw | CSKA Moscow |
| 1-0 @ 7.5% ( 0.03) 2-1 @ 6.2% ( 0.02)2-0 @ 3.9% ( 0.02)3-1 @ 2.15% ( 0.01)3-2 @ 1.71% ( 0)3-0 @ 1.35% ( 0.01)Other @ 2.01% Total : 24.84% | 1-1 @ 11.92% ( 0.02) 0-0 @ 7.21% ( 0.02)2-2 @ 4.93% ( 0)3-3 @ 0.91% ( -0)Other @ 0.1% Total : 25.06% | 0-1 @ 11.45% ( -0.01) 1-2 @ 9.47% ( -0.01)0-2 @ 9.1% ( -0.03)1-3 @ 5.02% ( -0.02)0-3 @ 4.82% ( -0.03)2-3 @ 2.61% ( -0)1-4 @ 1.99% ( -0.01)0-4 @ 1.92% ( -0.02)2-4 @ 1.04% ( -0.01)Other @ 2.66% Total : 50.09% |
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