Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Khimki win with a probability of 44.08%. A win for Rubin Kazan had a probability of 29.67% and a draw had a probability of 26.3%.

The most likely scoreline for a Khimki win was 0-1 with a probability of 11.07%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-2 (8.95%) and 0-2 (7.94%). The likeliest Rubin Kazan win was 1-0 (8.71%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.48%). The actual scoreline of 2-3 was predicted with a 2.4% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Khimki would win this match.

Result
Rubin Kazan	Draw	Khimki
29.67% ( 0.09)	26.25% ( -0.01)	44.08% ( -0.08)

Both teams to score 51.49% (

0.07)

Goals

Over 2.5

Under 2.5

47.17% (

0.07)

52.83% (

-0.06)

Over 3.5

Under 3.5

25.55% (

0.05)

74.45% (

-0.05)

Rubin Kazan Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

67.6% (

0.1)

32.4% (

-0.09)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

31.09% (

0.11)

68.91% (

-0.11)

Khimki Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

76.16% (

-0.01)

23.84% (

0.01)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

41.98% (

-0.02)

58.02% (

0.02)

Score Analysis

Rubin Kazan 29.67%

Khimki 44.07%

Draw 26.25%

Rubin Kazan	Draw	Khimki
1-0 @ 8.71% ( 0) 2-1 @ 7.03% ( 0.02) 2-0 @ 4.91% ( 0.01) 3-1 @ 2.64% ( 0.01) 3-2 @ 1.89% ( 0.01) 3-0 @ 1.84% ( 0.01) Other @ 2.65% Total : 29.67%	1-1 @ 12.48% 0-0 @ 7.72% ( -0.02) 2-2 @ 5.04% ( 0.01) 3-3 @ 0.91% ( 0) Other @ 0.1% Total : 26.25%	0-1 @ 11.07% ( -0.03) 1-2 @ 8.95% ( -0) 0-2 @ 7.94% ( -0.03) 1-3 @ 4.28% ( -0) 0-3 @ 3.79% ( -0.01) 2-3 @ 2.41% ( 0) 1-4 @ 1.53% ( -0) 0-4 @ 1.36% ( -0) Other @ 2.74% Total : 44.07%