SM
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Khimki win with a probability of 44.08%. A win for Rubin Kazan had a probability of 29.67% and a draw had a probability of 26.3%.
The most likely scoreline for a Khimki win was 0-1 with a probability of 11.07%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-2 (8.95%) and 0-2 (7.94%). The likeliest Rubin Kazan win was 1-0 (8.71%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.48%). The actual scoreline of 2-3 was predicted with a 2.4% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Khimki would win this match.
| Result | ||
| Rubin Kazan | Draw | Khimki |
29.67% ( 0.09) | 26.25% ( -0.01) | 44.08% ( -0.08) |
| Both teams to score 51.49% ( 0.07) |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 47.17% ( 0.07) | 52.83% ( -0.06) |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 25.55% ( 0.05) | 74.45% ( -0.05) |
| Rubin Kazan Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 67.6% ( 0.1) | 32.4% ( -0.09) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 31.09% ( 0.11) | 68.91% ( -0.11) |
| Khimki Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 76.16% ( -0.01) | 23.84% ( 0.01) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 41.98% ( -0.02) | 58.02% ( 0.02) |
| Score Analysis |
| Rubin Kazan | Draw | Khimki |
| 1-0 @ 8.71% ( 0) 2-1 @ 7.03% ( 0.02)2-0 @ 4.91% ( 0.01)3-1 @ 2.64% ( 0.01)3-2 @ 1.89% ( 0.01)3-0 @ 1.84% ( 0.01)Other @ 2.65% Total : 29.67% | 1-1 @ 12.48% 0-0 @ 7.72% ( -0.02)2-2 @ 5.04% ( 0.01)3-3 @ 0.91% ( 0)Other @ 0.1% Total : 26.25% | 0-1 @ 11.07% ( -0.03) 1-2 @ 8.95% ( -0)0-2 @ 7.94% ( -0.03)1-3 @ 4.28% ( -0)0-3 @ 3.79% ( -0.01)2-3 @ 2.41% ( 0)1-4 @ 1.53% ( -0)0-4 @ 1.36% ( -0)Other @ 2.74% Total : 44.07% |
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