SM
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Zenit St Petersburg win with a probability of 62.88%. A draw had a probability of 21.8% and a win for Khimki had a probability of 15.32%.
The most likely scoreline for a Zenit St Petersburg win was 0-1 with a probability of 12.94%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 0-2 (12.14%) and 1-2 (9.69%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (10.32%), while for a Khimki win it was 1-0 (5.5%). The actual scoreline of 1-1 was predicted with a 10.3% likelihood.
| Result | ||
| Khimki | Draw | Zenit St Petersburg |
15.32% ( -0.11) | 21.79% ( 0.12) | 62.88% ( -0.02) |
| Both teams to score 46.54% ( -0.61) |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 49.99% ( -0.69) | 50.01% ( 0.69) |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 28.01% ( -0.62) | 71.99% ( 0.62) |
| Khimki Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 54.96% ( -0.57) | 45.04% ( 0.56) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 19.03% ( -0.46) | 80.96% ( 0.45) |
| Zenit St Petersburg Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 84.68% ( -0.24) | 15.32% ( 0.23) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 55.94% ( -0.45) | 44.06% ( 0.44) |
| Score Analysis |
| Khimki | Draw | Zenit St Petersburg |
| 1-0 @ 5.5% ( 0.07) 2-1 @ 4.12% ( -0.05)2-0 @ 2.2% ( -0.01)3-1 @ 1.1% ( -0.03)3-2 @ 1.03% ( -0.04)Other @ 1.38% Total : 15.32% | 1-1 @ 10.32% ( 0.04) 0-0 @ 6.9% ( 0.19)2-2 @ 3.86% ( -0.08)Other @ 0.71% Total : 21.79% | 0-1 @ 12.94% ( 0.26) 0-2 @ 12.14% ( 0.14)1-2 @ 9.69% ( -0.04)0-3 @ 7.59% ( 0.03)1-3 @ 6.06% ( -0.07)0-4 @ 3.56% ( -0.02)1-4 @ 2.84% ( -0.06)2-3 @ 2.42% ( -0.07)0-5 @ 1.34% ( -0.02)2-4 @ 1.13% ( -0.04)1-5 @ 1.07% ( -0.03)Other @ 2.11% Total : 62.88% |
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