SM
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Akron Tolyatti win with a probability of 41.39%. A win for Krylia Sovetov had a probability of 33.41% and a draw had a probability of 25.2%.
The most likely scoreline for an Akron Tolyatti win was 1-0 with a probability of 9.09%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (8.83%) and 2-0 (6.75%). The likeliest Krylia Sovetov win was 0-1 (8.01%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (11.89%). The actual scoreline of 2-0 was predicted with a 6.7% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Akron Tolyatti would win this match.
| Result | ||
| Akron Tolyatti | Draw | Krylia Sovetov |
41.39% ( -0.3) | 25.21% ( 0.29) | 33.41% ( 0) |
| Both teams to score 56.43% ( -1.02) |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 52.88% ( -1.32) | 47.12% ( 1.32) |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 30.64% ( -1.24) | 69.35% ( 1.24) |
| Akron Tolyatti Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 77.34% ( -0.72) | 22.67% ( 0.71) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 43.69% ( -1.07) | 56.31% ( 1.07) |
| Krylia Sovetov Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 72.97% ( -0.64) | 27.03% ( 0.63) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 37.62% ( -0.84) | 62.39% ( 0.83) |
| Score Analysis |
| Akron Tolyatti | Draw | Krylia Sovetov |
| 1-0 @ 9.09% ( 0.31) 2-1 @ 8.83% ( -0.04)2-0 @ 6.75% ( 0.09)3-1 @ 4.37% ( -0.12)3-0 @ 3.34% ( -0.03)3-2 @ 2.86% ( -0.13)4-1 @ 1.62% ( -0.08)4-0 @ 1.24% ( -0.04)4-2 @ 1.06% ( -0.07)Other @ 2.23% Total : 41.39% | 1-1 @ 11.89% ( 0.19) 0-0 @ 6.13% ( 0.33)2-2 @ 5.78% ( -0.13)3-3 @ 1.25% ( -0.08)Other @ 0.16% Total : 25.2% | 0-1 @ 8.01% ( 0.3) 1-2 @ 7.78% ( -0.01)0-2 @ 5.24% ( 0.1)1-3 @ 3.39% ( -0.07)2-3 @ 2.52% ( -0.11)0-3 @ 2.29% ( 0)1-4 @ 1.11% ( -0.04)Other @ 3.06% Total : 33.41% |
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