SM
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Akhmat Grozny win with a probability of 50.75%. A draw had a probability of 24.7% and a win for Krylia Sovetov had a probability of 24.6%.
The most likely scoreline for an Akhmat Grozny win was 1-0 with a probability of 11.08%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (9.56%) and 2-0 (9.04%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (11.72%), while for a Krylia Sovetov win it was 0-1 (7.18%). The actual scoreline of 1-1 was predicted with an 11.7% likelihood.
| Result | ||
| Akhmat Grozny | Draw | Krylia Sovetov |
50.75% ( -0.8) | 24.65% ( 0.32) | 24.6% ( 0.49) |
| Both teams to score 52.5% ( -0.47) |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 50.37% ( -0.87) | 49.63% ( 0.87) |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 28.35% ( -0.79) | 71.65% ( 0.79) |
| Akhmat Grozny Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 80.44% ( -0.66) | 19.56% ( 0.66) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 48.52% ( -1.09) | 51.47% ( 1.09) |
| Krylia Sovetov Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 65.26% ( -0.05) | 34.73% ( 0.05) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 28.53% ( -0.05) | 71.46% ( 0.06) |
| Score Analysis |
| Akhmat Grozny | Draw | Krylia Sovetov |
| 1-0 @ 11.08% ( 0.16) 2-1 @ 9.56% ( -0.07)2-0 @ 9.04% ( -0.05)3-1 @ 5.2% ( -0.15)3-0 @ 4.92% ( -0.13)3-2 @ 2.75% ( -0.08)4-1 @ 2.12% ( -0.11)4-0 @ 2.01% ( -0.1)4-2 @ 1.12% ( -0.06)Other @ 2.93% Total : 50.74% | 1-1 @ 11.72% ( 0.16) 0-0 @ 6.79% ( 0.24)2-2 @ 5.06% ( -0.04)3-3 @ 0.97% ( -0.03)Other @ 0.11% Total : 24.65% | 0-1 @ 7.18% ( 0.24) 1-2 @ 6.2% ( 0.08)0-2 @ 3.8% ( 0.12)1-3 @ 2.19% ( 0.02)2-3 @ 1.78% ( -0.02)0-3 @ 1.34% ( 0.04)Other @ 2.11% Total : 24.6% |
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