SM
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a FC Krasnodar win with a probability of 47.22%. A win for Krylia Sovetov had a probability of 28.25% and a draw had a probability of 24.5%.
The most likely scoreline for a FC Krasnodar win was 0-1 with a probability of 9.64%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-2 (9.39%) and 0-2 (7.82%). The likeliest Krylia Sovetov win was 1-0 (7.13%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (11.57%). The actual scoreline of 1-2 was predicted with a 9.4% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that FC Krasnodar would win this match.
| Result | ||
| Krylia Sovetov | Draw | FC Krasnodar |
28.25% ( 0) | 24.53% ( 0.03) | 47.22% ( -0.03) |
| Both teams to score 56.12% ( -0.08) |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 53.63% ( -0.11) | 46.37% ( 0.11) |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 31.35% ( -0.1) | 68.65% ( 0.1) |
| Krylia Sovetov Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 69.9% ( -0.05) | 30.09% ( 0.05) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 33.77% ( -0.06) | 66.23% ( 0.06) |
| FC Krasnodar Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 80.28% ( -0.05) | 19.72% ( 0.06) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 48.27% ( -0.09) | 51.73% ( 0.09) |
| Score Analysis |
| Krylia Sovetov | Draw | FC Krasnodar |
| 1-0 @ 7.13% ( 0.02) 2-1 @ 6.95% 2-0 @ 4.28% ( 0.01)3-1 @ 2.78% ( -0.01)3-2 @ 2.26% ( -0.01)3-0 @ 1.71% ( 0)Other @ 3.15% Total : 28.25% | 1-1 @ 11.57% ( 0.02) 0-0 @ 5.93% ( 0.03)2-2 @ 5.64% ( -0.01)3-3 @ 1.22% ( -0.01)Other @ 0.16% Total : 24.53% | 0-1 @ 9.64% ( 0.03) 1-2 @ 9.39% ( -0)0-2 @ 7.82% ( 0.01)1-3 @ 5.08% ( -0.01)0-3 @ 4.23% ( -0)2-3 @ 3.05% ( -0.01)1-4 @ 2.06% ( -0.01)0-4 @ 1.72% ( -0)2-4 @ 1.24% ( -0.01)Other @ 2.98% Total : 47.22% |
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