SM
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Orenburg win with a probability of 54.11%. A draw had a probability of 22.9% and a win for Krylia Sovetov had a probability of 22.94%.
The most likely scoreline for a Orenburg win was 2-1 with a probability of 9.82%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (9.75%) and 2-0 (8.88%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (10.78%), while for a Krylia Sovetov win it was 1-2 (5.96%). The actual scoreline of 2-2 was predicted with a 5.4% likelihood.
| Result | ||
| Orenburg | Draw | Krylia Sovetov |
54.11% ( -0.23) | 22.95% ( 0.11) | 22.94% ( 0.13) |
| Both teams to score 56.09% ( -0.19) |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 56.04% ( -0.33) | 43.95% ( 0.33) |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 33.66% ( -0.33) | 66.34% ( 0.32) |
| Orenburg Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 83.82% ( -0.2) | 16.18% ( 0.2) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 54.36% ( -0.37) | 45.64% ( 0.36) |
| Krylia Sovetov Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 66.92% ( -0.07) | 33.08% ( 0.07) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 30.32% ( -0.08) | 69.68% ( 0.08) |
| Score Analysis |
| Orenburg | Draw | Krylia Sovetov |
| 2-1 @ 9.82% ( -0.01) 1-0 @ 9.75% ( 0.07)2-0 @ 8.88% ( 0.01)3-1 @ 5.96% ( -0.05)3-0 @ 5.39% ( -0.03)3-2 @ 3.3% ( -0.03)4-1 @ 2.72% ( -0.04)4-0 @ 2.46% ( -0.03)4-2 @ 1.5% ( -0.02)5-1 @ 0.99% ( -0.02)Other @ 3.35% Total : 54.12% | 1-1 @ 10.78% ( 0.06) 2-2 @ 5.43% ( -0.02)0-0 @ 5.35% ( 0.08)3-3 @ 1.22% ( -0.01)Other @ 0.17% Total : 22.95% | 1-2 @ 5.96% ( 0.02) 0-1 @ 5.92% ( 0.07)0-2 @ 3.27% ( 0.04)1-3 @ 2.2% ( 0)2-3 @ 2% ( -0.01)0-3 @ 1.21% ( 0.01)Other @ 2.37% Total : 22.94% |
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