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Russian Premier League | Gameweek 14
Nov 3, 2024 at 10am UK
Samara Arena

Akron
2 - 0
Krylia Sovetov

Escoval (20'), Dzyuba (72')
Loncar (59'), Kuzmin (66')
FT(HT: 1-0)

Babkin (50')
Coverage of the Russian Premier League clash between Akron Tolyatti and Krylia Sovetov.

Form, Standings, Stats

Last Game: Makhachkala 1-1 Akron
Saturday, October 26 at 12pm in Russian Premier League
Last Game: Krylia Sovetov 1-2 Krasnodar
Monday, October 28 at 3.30pm in Russian Premier League

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Akron Tolyatti win with a probability of 41.39%. A win for Krylia Sovetov had a probability of 33.41% and a draw had a probability of 25.2%.

The most likely scoreline for an Akron Tolyatti win was 1-0 with a probability of 9.09%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (8.83%) and 2-0 (6.75%). The likeliest Krylia Sovetov win was 0-1 (8.01%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (11.89%). The actual scoreline of 2-0 was predicted with a 6.7% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Akron Tolyatti would win this match.

Result
Akron TolyattiDrawKrylia Sovetov
41.39% (-0.302 -0.3) 25.21% (0.294 0.29) 33.41% (0.0049999999999955 0)
Both teams to score 56.43% (-1.017 -1.02)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
52.88% (-1.32 -1.32)47.12% (1.315 1.32)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
30.64% (-1.242 -1.24)69.35% (1.236 1.24)
Akron Tolyatti Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
77.34% (-0.718 -0.72)22.67% (0.714 0.71)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
43.69% (-1.073 -1.07)56.31% (1.069 1.07)
Krylia Sovetov Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
72.97% (-0.636 -0.64)27.03% (0.631 0.63)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
37.62% (-0.835 -0.84)62.39% (0.831 0.83)
Score Analysis
    Akron Tolyatti 41.39%
    Krylia Sovetov 33.41%
    Draw 25.2%
Akron TolyattiDrawKrylia Sovetov
1-0 @ 9.09% (0.306 0.31)
2-1 @ 8.83% (-0.043999999999999 -0.04)
2-0 @ 6.75% (0.087000000000001 0.09)
3-1 @ 4.37% (-0.117 -0.12)
3-0 @ 3.34% (-0.028 -0.03)
3-2 @ 2.86% (-0.129 -0.13)
4-1 @ 1.62% (-0.079 -0.08)
4-0 @ 1.24% (-0.037 -0.04)
4-2 @ 1.06% (-0.072 -0.07)
Other @ 2.23%
Total : 41.39%
1-1 @ 11.89% (0.19 0.19)
0-0 @ 6.13% (0.331 0.33)
2-2 @ 5.78% (-0.133 -0.13)
3-3 @ 1.25% (-0.08 -0.08)
Other @ 0.16%
Total : 25.2%
0-1 @ 8.01% (0.296 0.3)
1-2 @ 7.78% (-0.012 -0.01)
0-2 @ 5.24% (0.103 0.1)
1-3 @ 3.39% (-0.067 -0.07)
2-3 @ 2.52% (-0.105 -0.11)
0-3 @ 2.29% (0.0049999999999999 0)
1-4 @ 1.11% (-0.042 -0.04)
Other @ 3.06%
Total : 33.41%

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Form Guide
Last Game: Makhachkala 1-1 Akron
Saturday, October 26 at 12pm in Russian Premier League
Last Game: Akron 0-5 Zenit
Friday, October 18 at 4pm in Russian Premier League
Last Game: Akron 2-2 Nizhny Novgorod
Saturday, October 5 at 12pm in Russian Premier League
Last Game: Rostov 0-2 Akron
Saturday, September 28 at 6pm in Russian Premier League
Last Game: Akron 2-5 Krasnodar
Saturday, September 21 at 12pm in Russian Premier League
Last Game: Akron 3-0 Khimki
Sunday, September 15 at 2.30pm in Russian Premier League
Last Game: Krylia Sovetov 1-2 Krasnodar
Monday, October 28 at 3.30pm in Russian Premier League
Last Game: Orenburg 2-2 Krylia Sovetov
Sunday, October 20 at 2.30pm in Russian Premier League
Last Game: Lokomotiv 1-0 Krylia Sovetov
Sunday, October 6 at 2.30pm in Russian Premier League
Last Game: Krylia Sovetov 0-0 Khimki
Sunday, September 29 at 2.30pm in Russian Premier League
Last Game: Akhmat Grozny 1-1 Krylia Sovetov
Monday, September 23 at 4.30pm in Russian Premier League
Last Game: Rubin Kazan 0-2 Krylia Sovetov
Friday, September 13 at 6.15pm in Russian Premier League


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