SM
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Lokomotiv Moscow win with a probability of 65.32%. A draw had a probability of 20% and a win for Krylia Sovetov had a probability of 14.67%.
The most likely scoreline for a Lokomotiv Moscow win was 2-0 with a probability of 11.38%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (10.98%) and 2-1 (9.85%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (9.5%), while for a Krylia Sovetov win it was 0-1 (4.58%). The actual scoreline of 1-0 was predicted with a 11% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Lokomotiv Moscow would win this match.
| Result | ||
| Lokomotiv Moscow | Draw | Krylia Sovetov |
65.32% ( 0.03) | 20.01% ( -0.03) | 14.67% ( 0) |
| Both teams to score 50.61% ( 0.12) |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 56.27% ( 0.15) | 43.73% ( -0.15) |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 33.88% ( 0.15) | 66.12% ( -0.14) |
| Lokomotiv Moscow Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 87.41% ( 0.05) | 12.58% ( -0.05) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 61.33% ( 0.11) | 38.67% ( -0.11) |
| Krylia Sovetov Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 57.89% ( 0.1) | 42.1% ( -0.09) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 21.47% ( 0.09) | 78.52% ( -0.08) |
| Score Analysis |
| Lokomotiv Moscow | Draw | Krylia Sovetov |
| 2-0 @ 11.38% ( -0.02) 1-0 @ 10.98% ( -0.05)2-1 @ 9.85% ( 0)3-0 @ 7.86% ( -0)3-1 @ 6.8% ( 0.01)4-0 @ 4.08% ( 0.01)4-1 @ 3.53% ( 0.02)3-2 @ 2.94% ( 0.01)5-0 @ 1.69% ( 0.01)4-2 @ 1.53% ( 0.01)5-1 @ 1.46% ( 0.01)Other @ 3.23% Total : 65.31% | 1-1 @ 9.5% ( -0.02) 0-0 @ 5.3% ( -0.03)2-2 @ 4.26% ( 0.01)Other @ 0.95% Total : 20.01% | 0-1 @ 4.58% ( -0.02) 1-2 @ 4.11% ( 0)0-2 @ 1.98% ( -0)2-3 @ 1.23% ( 0.01)1-3 @ 1.19% ( 0)Other @ 1.59% Total : 14.67% |
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