SM
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Al-Hilal win with a probability of 64.61%. A draw had a probability of 18.9% and a win for Al Fateh had a probability of 16.51%.
The most likely scoreline for an Al-Hilal win was 1-2 with a probability of 9.74%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 0-2 (9.05%) and 0-1 (7.91%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (8.51%), while for an Al Fateh win it was 2-1 (4.58%). The actual scoreline of 0-2 was predicted with a 9.1% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole and our data analysis both correctly predicted that Al-Hilal would win this match.
| Result | ||
| Al Fateh | Draw | Al-Hilal |
16.51% ( 1.83) | 18.88% ( 1.07) | 64.61% ( -2.89) |
| Both teams to score 59.24% ( 0.55) |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 65.37% ( -1.36) | 34.63% ( 1.36) |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 43.43% ( -1.54) | 56.57% ( 1.54) |
| Al Fateh Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 65.91% ( 1.37) | 34.09% ( -1.37) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 29.22% ( 1.44) | 70.78% ( -1.44) |
| Al-Hilal Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 89.88% ( -1.05) | 10.12% ( 1.05) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 66.69% ( -2.47) | 33.31% ( 2.47) |
| Score Analysis |
| Al Fateh | Draw | Al-Hilal |
| 2-1 @ 4.58% ( 0.43) 1-0 @ 3.71% ( 0.38)2-0 @ 2% ( 0.27)3-2 @ 1.88% ( 0.16)3-1 @ 1.64% ( 0.21)Other @ 2.7% Total : 16.51% | 1-1 @ 8.51% ( 0.5) 2-2 @ 5.24% ( 0.26)0-0 @ 3.45% ( 0.24)3-3 @ 1.44% ( 0.06)Other @ 0.24% Total : 18.88% | 1-2 @ 9.74% ( 0.14) 0-2 @ 9.05% ( -0.21)0-1 @ 7.91% ( 0.19)1-3 @ 7.44% ( -0.25)0-3 @ 6.91% ( -0.5)1-4 @ 4.26% ( -0.35)2-3 @ 4% ( 0.02)0-4 @ 3.96% ( -0.49)2-4 @ 2.29% ( -0.1)1-5 @ 1.95% ( -0.26)0-5 @ 1.81% ( -0.32)2-5 @ 1.05% ( -0.1)Other @ 4.24% Total : 64.61% |
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