SM
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Al Ittihad win with a probability of 45.5%. A win for Al Fateh had a probability of 29.35% and a draw had a probability of 25.1%.
The most likely scoreline for an Al Ittihad win was 1-0 with a probability of 10%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (9.22%) and 2-0 (7.73%). The likeliest Al Fateh win was 0-1 (7.71%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (11.92%). The actual scoreline of 2-1 was predicted with a 9.2% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole and our data analysis both correctly predicted that Al Ittihad would win this match.
| Result | ||
| Al Ittihad | Draw | Al Fateh |
45.5% ( -0.34) | 25.15% ( 0.24) | 29.35% ( 0.1) |
| Both teams to score 54.8% ( -0.73) |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 51.57% ( -0.99) | 48.43% ( 0.99) |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 29.43% ( -0.91) | 70.56% ( 0.91) |
| Al Ittihad Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 78.7% ( -0.56) | 21.3% ( 0.56) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 45.76% ( -0.87) | 54.24% ( 0.87) |
| Al Fateh Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 69.63% ( -0.44) | 30.37% ( 0.43) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 33.44% ( -0.52) | 66.56% ( 0.52) |
| Score Analysis |
| Al Ittihad | Draw | Al Fateh |
| 1-0 @ 10% ( 0.23) 2-1 @ 9.22% ( -0.05)2-0 @ 7.73% ( 0.05)3-1 @ 4.75% ( -0.11)3-0 @ 3.99% ( -0.04)3-2 @ 2.83% ( -0.1)4-1 @ 1.84% ( -0.07)4-0 @ 1.54% ( -0.04)4-2 @ 1.1% ( -0.06)Other @ 2.51% Total : 45.5% | 1-1 @ 11.92% ( 0.14) 0-0 @ 6.47% ( 0.26)2-2 @ 5.49% ( -0.09)3-3 @ 1.13% ( -0.05)Other @ 0.14% Total : 25.15% | 0-1 @ 7.71% ( 0.22) 1-2 @ 7.1% ( -0)0-2 @ 4.59% ( 0.08)1-3 @ 2.82% ( -0.03)2-3 @ 2.18% ( -0.07)0-3 @ 1.83% ( 0.01)Other @ 3.11% Total : 29.35% |
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