SM
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Al Fateh win with a probability of 57.28%. A win for Abha had a probability of 21.96% and a draw had a probability of 20.8%.
The most likely scoreline for an Al Fateh win was 2-1 with a probability of 9.68%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (7.79%) and 1-0 (7.38%). The likeliest Abha win was 1-2 (5.7%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (9.17%). The actual scoreline of 4-1 was predicted with a 3.6% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Al Fateh would win this match.
| Result | ||
| Al Fateh | Draw | Abha |
57.28% ( 0.35) | 20.76% ( -0.09) | 21.96% ( -0.27) |
| Both teams to score 62.51% ( -0.05) |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 65.1% ( 0.1) | 34.89% ( -0.11) |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 43.13% ( 0.11) | 56.87% ( -0.12) |
| Al Fateh Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 87.87% ( 0.13) | 12.12% ( -0.14) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 62.29% ( 0.28) | 37.7% ( -0.28) |
| Abha Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 71.13% ( -0.17) | 28.86% ( 0.16) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 35.27% ( -0.21) | 64.72% ( 0.2) |
| Score Analysis |
| Al Fateh | Draw | Abha |
| 2-1 @ 9.68% ( 0.01) 2-0 @ 7.79% ( 0.04)1-0 @ 7.38% ( -0)3-1 @ 6.81% ( 0.04)3-0 @ 5.48% ( 0.06)3-2 @ 4.23% ( 0.01)4-1 @ 3.59% ( 0.04)4-0 @ 2.89% ( 0.04)4-2 @ 2.23% ( 0.02)5-1 @ 1.52% ( 0.02)5-0 @ 1.22% ( 0.02)5-2 @ 0.94% ( 0.01)4-3 @ 0.92% ( 0)Other @ 2.59% Total : 57.28% | 1-1 @ 9.17% ( -0.04) 2-2 @ 6.01% ( -0.02)0-0 @ 3.5% ( -0.02)3-3 @ 1.75% ( -0.01)Other @ 0.32% Total : 20.76% | 1-2 @ 5.7% ( -0.05) 0-1 @ 4.35% ( -0.04)0-2 @ 2.7% ( -0.04)2-3 @ 2.49% ( -0.02)1-3 @ 2.36% ( -0.03)0-3 @ 1.12% ( -0.02)Other @ 3.24% Total : 21.96% |
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