Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Al-Nassr win with a probability of 53.23%. A draw had a probability of 24.5% and a win for Al Hazem had a probability of 22.29%.
The most likely scoreline for an Al-Nassr win was 0-1 with a probability of 11.9%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 0-2 (9.85%) and 1-2 (9.62%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (11.63%), while for an Al Hazem win it was 1-0 (7.04%). The actual scoreline of 1-5 was predicted with a 0.7% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Al-Nassr would win this match.
0.06) 
-0.12) 
