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Saudi Pro League | Gameweek 3
Aug 25, 2023 at 7pm UK
Prince Abdullah bin Jalawi Sports City Stadium
A

Al Fateh
0 - 5
Al-Nassr

FT(HT: 0-2)
Mane (27', 81'), Ronaldo (38', 55', 90+6')
Brozovic (52')

Form, Standings, Stats

Last Game: Al Okhdood 1-3 Al Fateh
Friday, August 18 at 4pm in Saudi Pro League
Last Game: Al-Nassr 4-2 Shabab Al-Ahli
Tuesday, August 22 at 6.20pm in AFC Champions League

We said: Al Fateh 1-3 Al-Nassr

The teams have proven to be capable in front of goal, and we are backing both of them to find the back of the net here. That said, we can also see Al-Nassr having too much firepower for their hosts and coming away with all three points in the end. Read more.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Al-Nassr win with a probability of 47.34%. A win for Al Fateh had a probability of 28.35% and a draw had a probability of 24.3%.

The most likely scoreline for an Al-Nassr win was 1-2 with a probability of 9.41%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 0-1 (9.36%) and 0-2 (7.71%). The likeliest Al Fateh win was 2-1 (6.97%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (11.42%). The actual scoreline of 0-5 was predicted with a 0.6% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole and our data analysis both correctly predicted that Al-Nassr would win this match.

Result
Al FatehDrawAl-Nassr
28.35% (0.4 0.4) 24.31% (0.104 0.1) 47.34% (-0.505 -0.51)
Both teams to score 56.91% (-0.045999999999999 -0.05)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
54.65% (-0.196 -0.2)45.35% (0.194 0.19)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
32.31% (-0.188 -0.19)67.69% (0.18600000000001 0.19)
Al Fateh Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
70.49% (0.19 0.19)29.51% (-0.192 -0.19)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
34.48% (0.232 0.23)65.52% (-0.235 -0.23)
Al-Nassr Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
80.73% (-0.286 -0.29)19.27% (0.284 0.28)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
49.01% (-0.47 -0.47)50.99% (0.467 0.47)
Score Analysis
    Al Fateh 28.35%
    Al-Nassr 47.34%
    Draw 24.3%
Al FatehDrawAl-Nassr
2-1 @ 6.97% (0.069 0.07)
1-0 @ 6.94% (0.093999999999999 0.09)
2-0 @ 4.23% (0.079 0.08)
3-1 @ 2.84% (0.043 0.04)
3-2 @ 2.34% (0.014 0.01)
3-0 @ 1.72% (0.042 0.04)
Other @ 3.3%
Total : 28.35%
1-1 @ 11.42% (0.050000000000001 0.05)
2-2 @ 5.74% (0.0060000000000002 0.01)
0-0 @ 5.68% (0.047000000000001 0.05)
3-3 @ 1.28% (-0.0030000000000001 -0)
Other @ 0.18%
Total : 24.3%
1-2 @ 9.41% (-0.039999999999999 -0.04)
0-1 @ 9.36% (-0.0060000000000002 -0.01)
0-2 @ 7.71% (-0.074 -0.07)
1-3 @ 5.17% (-0.069 -0.07)
0-3 @ 4.23% (-0.079 -0.08)
2-3 @ 3.15% (-0.024 -0.02)
1-4 @ 2.13% (-0.047 -0.05)
0-4 @ 1.74% (-0.049 -0.05)
2-4 @ 1.3% (-0.022 -0.02)
Other @ 3.15%
Total : 47.34%

Read more!
Read more!
Form Guide
Last Game: Al Okhdood 1-3 Al Fateh
Friday, August 18 at 4pm in Saudi Pro League
Last Game: Al Fateh 1-1 Al-Taawoun
Sunday, August 13 at 7pm in Saudi Pro League
Last Game: Al-Nassr 4-2 Shabab Al-Ahli
Tuesday, August 22 at 6.20pm in AFC Champions League
Last Game: Al-Nassr 0-2 Al-Taawoun
Friday, August 18 at 7pm in Saudi Pro League
Last Game: Al Ettifaq 2-1 Al-Nassr
Monday, August 14 at 7pm in Saudi Pro League
Last Game: Inter Milan 1-1 Al-Nassr
Thursday, July 27 at 11.20am in Club Friendlies 1
Last Game: PSG 0-0 Al-Nassr
Tuesday, July 25 at 11.20am in Club Friendlies 1
Last Game: Al-Nassr 1-4 Benfica
Thursday, July 20 at 8.30pm in Club Friendlies 1


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