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Saudi Pro League | Gameweek 15
Nov 30, 2023 at 6pm UK
King Abdullah Sports City

Al Ittihad
4 - 2
Al Khaleej

Coronado (9'), Benzema (29' pen.), Hamdallah (65' pen.), Al Hawsawi (74')
Hawsawi (52'), Al-Ghamdi (61')
FT(HT: 2-1)
Narey (45' pen.), Altryes (90')
Al Hamsal (68')

Form, Standings, Stats

Last Game: AGMK 1-2 Al Ittihad
Monday, November 27 at 4pm in AFC Champions League
Last Game: Al Wahda 3-1 Al Khaleej
Saturday, November 25 at 6pm in Saudi Pro League

We said: Al Ittihad 2-0 Al Khaleej

While Al Ittihad have not been at their best of late, they have beaten bottom-half teams with relative ease this season. The visitors have never beaten this opponent in the top flight, and we feel they will suffer another defeat in this one. Read more.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Al Ittihad win with a probability of 72.73%. A draw had a probability of 16.9% and a win for Al Khaleej had a probability of 10.4%.

The most likely scoreline for an Al Ittihad win was 2-0 with a probability of 12.33%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (10.54%) and 3-0 (9.62%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (8.02%), while for an Al Khaleej win it was 0-1 (3.43%). The actual scoreline of 4-2 was predicted with a 1.6% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole and our data analysis both correctly predicted that Al Ittihad would win this match.

Result
Al IttihadDrawAl Khaleej
72.73% (0.0060000000000002 0.01) 16.87% (-0.0069999999999979 -0.01) 10.4% (-0.0010000000000012 -0)
Both teams to score 48.11% (0.010999999999996 0.01)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
59.87% (0.018000000000001 0.02)40.13% (-0.018000000000001 -0.02)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
37.5% (0.016999999999996 0.02)62.5% (-0.020000000000003 -0.02)
Al Ittihad Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
90.36% (0.0050000000000097 0.01)9.64% (-0.0059999999999985 -0.01)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
67.81% (0.013000000000005 0.01)32.19% (-0.015000000000001 -0.02)
Al Khaleej Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
53.24% (0.0090000000000003 0.01)46.76% (-0.010000000000005 -0.01)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
17.7% (0.0060000000000002 0.01)82.3% (-0.0079999999999956 -0.01)
Score Analysis
    Al Ittihad 72.72%
    Al Khaleej 10.4%
    Draw 16.87%
Al IttihadDrawAl Khaleej
2-0 @ 12.33%
1-0 @ 10.54% (-0.010000000000002 -0.01)
3-0 @ 9.62% (-0.0010000000000012 -0)
2-1 @ 9.38%
3-1 @ 7.31% (0.00099999999999945 0)
4-0 @ 5.62% (0.00099999999999945 0)
4-1 @ 4.28% (0.0020000000000007 0)
3-2 @ 2.78% (0.0019999999999998 0)
5-0 @ 2.63% (0.00099999999999989 0)
5-1 @ 2% (0.00099999999999989 0)
4-2 @ 1.63% (0.00099999999999989 0)
6-0 @ 1.03% (0.0010000000000001 0)
Other @ 3.59%
Total : 72.72%
1-1 @ 8.02% (-0.0030000000000001 -0)
0-0 @ 4.51% (-0.0040000000000004 -0)
2-2 @ 3.56%
Other @ 0.79%
Total : 16.87%
0-1 @ 3.43% (-0.00099999999999989 -0)
1-2 @ 3.05%
0-2 @ 1.3% (-0.00099999999999989 -0)
2-3 @ 0.9% (0.001 0)
Other @ 1.72%
Total : 10.4%

Read more!
Read more!
Form Guide
Last Game: AGMK 1-2 Al Ittihad
Monday, November 27 at 4pm in AFC Champions League
Last Game: Al Ettifaq 1-1 Al Ittihad
Friday, November 24 at 3pm in Saudi Pro League
Last Game: Al Ittihad 4-2 Abha
Friday, November 10 at 6pm in Saudi Pro League
Last Game: Al Quwa Al Jawiya 2-0 Al Ittihad
Monday, November 6 at 12pm in AFC Champions League
Last Game: Al Shabab 1-0 Al Ittihad
Friday, November 3 at 6pm in Saudi Pro League
Last Game: Al Ittihad 2-2 Al Hazem
Thursday, October 26 at 7pm in Saudi Pro League
Last Game: Al Wahda 3-1 Al Khaleej
Saturday, November 25 at 6pm in Saudi Pro League
Last Game: Al Khaleej 3-1 Al Tai
Thursday, November 9 at 3pm in Saudi Pro League
Last Game: Al-Nassr 2-0 Al Khaleej
Saturday, November 4 at 6pm in Saudi Pro League
Last Game: Al Khaleej 1-1 Al-Taawoun
Thursday, October 26 at 4pm in Saudi Pro League
Last Game: Al-Hilal 1-0 Al Khaleej
Friday, October 20 at 7pm in Saudi Pro League
Last Game: Al Khaleej 0-0 Al Raed
Saturday, October 7 at 7pm in Saudi Pro League


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