Saudi Pro League | Gameweek 11
Oct 26, 2023 at 7pm UK
King Abdullah Sports City
We said: Al Ittihad 3-1 Al Hazem
While the visitors did manage to claim their first league win last week, they face a major step up in class in this match and are likely to struggle to take anything off the defending champions. Al Hazem have shipped eight goals in their last two away matches, and we feel they may concede a few more here as well.
Read more.Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Al Ittihad win with a probability of 63.35%. A draw had a probability of 21.4% and a win for Al Hazem had a probability of 15.21%.
The most likely scoreline for an Al Ittihad win was 1-0 with a probability of 12.55%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (12%) and 2-1 (9.74%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (10.18%), while for an Al Hazem win it was 0-1 (5.32%). The actual scoreline of 2-2 was predicted with a 3.9% likelihood.
| Result |
| Al Ittihad | Draw | Al Hazem |
63.35% ( -0) | 21.44% ( 0) | 15.21% |
| Both teams to score 47.34% ( -0) |
| 51.21% ( -0.01) | 48.79% ( 0.01) |
| 29.11% ( -0.01) | 70.89% ( 0.01) |
| 85.23% ( -0) | 14.77% ( 0) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
| 56.99% ( -0.01) | 43.01% ( 0.01) |
| 55.54% ( -0) | 44.46% ( 0) |
