SM
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Al Ittihad win with a probability of 43.23%. A win for Al Shabab had a probability of 30.5% and a draw had a probability of 26.3%.
The most likely scoreline for an Al Ittihad win was 0-1 with a probability of 10.85%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-2 (8.88%) and 0-2 (7.72%). The likeliest Al Shabab win was 1-0 (8.79%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.49%). The actual scoreline of 1-0 was predicted with an 8.8% likelihood.
| Result | ||
| Al Shabab | Draw | Al Ittihad |
30.5% ( 0.49) | 26.27% ( 0.32) | 43.23% ( -0.81) |
| Both teams to score 51.86% ( -0.76) |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 47.45% ( -1.09) | 52.54% ( 1.09) |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 25.79% ( -0.94) | 74.2% ( 0.94) |
| Al Shabab Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 68.35% ( -0.21) | 31.65% ( 0.21) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 31.94% ( -0.24) | 68.06% ( 0.24) |
| Al Ittihad Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 75.87% ( -0.87) | 24.13% ( 0.87) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 41.56% ( -1.25) | 58.44% ( 1.25) |
| Score Analysis |
| Al Shabab | Draw | Al Ittihad |
| 1-0 @ 8.79% ( 0.32) 2-1 @ 7.19% ( 0.04)2-0 @ 5.05% ( 0.16)3-1 @ 2.76% ( 0)3-2 @ 1.96% ( -0.05)3-0 @ 1.94% ( 0.05)Other @ 2.83% Total : 30.5% | 1-1 @ 12.49% ( 0.15) 0-0 @ 7.64% ( 0.32)2-2 @ 5.11% ( -0.1)3-3 @ 0.93% ( -0.05)Other @ 0.1% Total : 26.26% | 0-1 @ 10.85% ( 0.19) 1-2 @ 8.88% ( -0.12)0-2 @ 7.72% ( -0.06)1-3 @ 4.21% ( -0.17)0-3 @ 3.66% ( -0.12)2-3 @ 2.42% ( -0.11)1-4 @ 1.5% ( -0.1)0-4 @ 1.3% ( -0.08)Other @ 2.69% Total : 43.22% |
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