SM
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Al-Nassr win with a probability of 71.78%. A draw had a probability of 16.6% and a win for Al Khaleej had a probability of 11.63%.
The most likely scoreline for an Al-Nassr win was 2-0 with a probability of 10.64%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (9.45%) and 3-0 (8.71%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (7.7%), while for an Al Khaleej win it was 1-2 (3.42%). The actual scoreline of 2-0 was predicted with a 10.6% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted a 2-0 win for Al-Nassr in this match and our team at Sports Mole correctly predicted the win for Al-Nassr.
| Result | ||
| Al-Nassr | Draw | Al Khaleej |
71.78% ( 0.2) | 16.6% ( -0.17) | 11.63% ( -0.03) |
| Both teams to score 53.81% ( 0.57) |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 64.93% ( 0.77) | 35.07% ( -0.76) |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 42.94% ( 0.85) | 57.07% ( -0.84) |
| Al-Nassr Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 91.43% ( 0.24) | 8.58% ( -0.24) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 70.35% ( 0.58) | 29.65% ( -0.57) |
| Al Khaleej Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 58.86% ( 0.47) | 41.15% ( -0.47) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 22.32% ( 0.41) | 77.69% ( -0.41) |
| Score Analysis |
| Al-Nassr | Draw | Al Khaleej |
| 2-0 @ 10.64% ( -0.17) 2-1 @ 9.45% ( -0.03)3-0 @ 8.71% ( -0.04)1-0 @ 8.67% ( -0.24)3-1 @ 7.74% ( 0.06)4-0 @ 5.35% ( 0.03)4-1 @ 4.75% ( 0.09)3-2 @ 3.44% ( 0.07)5-0 @ 2.63% ( 0.04)5-1 @ 2.33% ( 0.07)4-2 @ 2.11% ( 0.07)6-0 @ 1.08% ( 0.03)5-2 @ 1.04% ( 0.04)6-1 @ 0.96% ( 0.04)Other @ 2.88% Total : 71.77% | 1-1 @ 7.7% ( -0.11) 2-2 @ 4.2% ( 0.04)0-0 @ 3.53% ( -0.14)3-3 @ 1.02% ( 0.03)Other @ 0.15% Total : 16.6% | 1-2 @ 3.42% ( -0) 0-1 @ 3.14% ( -0.08)0-2 @ 1.39% ( -0.02)2-3 @ 1.24% ( 0.03)1-3 @ 1.01% ( 0.01)Other @ 1.43% Total : 11.63% |
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