Saudi Pro League | Gameweek 15
Nov 30, 2023 at 6pm UK
King Abdullah Sports City
FT(HT: 2-1)
Narey (45' pen.), Altryes (90')
Al Hamsal (68')
We said: Al Ittihad 2-0 Al Khaleej
While Al Ittihad have not been at their best of late, they have beaten bottom-half teams with relative ease this season. The visitors have never beaten this opponent in the top flight, and we feel they will suffer another defeat in this one.
Read more.Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Al Ittihad win with a probability of 72.73%. A draw had a probability of 16.9% and a win for Al Khaleej had a probability of 10.4%.
The most likely scoreline for an Al Ittihad win was 2-0 with a probability of 12.33%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (10.54%) and 3-0 (9.62%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (8.02%), while for an Al Khaleej win it was 0-1 (3.43%). The actual scoreline of 4-2 was predicted with a 1.6% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole and our data analysis both correctly predicted that Al Ittihad would win this match.
| Result |
| Al Ittihad | Draw | Al Khaleej |
72.73% ( 0.01) | 16.87% ( -0.01) | 10.4% ( -0) |
| Both teams to score 48.11% ( 0.01) |
| 59.87% ( 0.02) | 40.13% ( -0.02) |
| 37.5% ( 0.02) | 62.5% ( -0.02) |
| 90.36% ( 0.01) | 9.64% ( -0.01) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
| 67.81% ( 0.01) | 32.19% ( -0.02) |
| 53.24% ( 0.01) | 46.76% ( -0.01) |
