Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Al Gharafa win with a probability of 40.43%. A win for Al Mu'aidar had a probability of 37.12% and a draw had a probability of 22.4%.
The most likely scoreline for an Al Gharafa win was 1-2 with a probability of 8.33%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 0-1 (5.61%) and 0-2 (4.95%). The likeliest Al Mu'aidar win was 2-1 (7.95%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (9.44%). The actual scoreline of 0-2 was predicted with a 4.9% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Al Gharafa would win this match.
Result | ||
Al Mu'aidar | Draw | Al Gharafa |
37.12% ( -0.11) | 22.44% ( -0.01) | 40.43% ( 0.11) |
Both teams to score 67.5% ( 0) |
Goals |
Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
66.97% ( 0.01) | 33.02% ( -0.01) |
Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
45.24% ( 0.01) | 54.75% ( -0.01) |
Al Mu'aidar Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
81.44% ( -0.05) | 18.55% ( 0.04) |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
50.19% ( -0.08) | 49.8% ( 0.08) |
Al Gharafa Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
82.87% ( 0.05) | 17.12% ( -0.05) |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
52.66% ( 0.09) | 47.33% ( -0.09) |
Score Analysis |
Al Mu'aidar | Draw | Al Gharafa |
2-1 @ 7.95% ( -0.01) 1-0 @ 5.35% ( -0.01) 2-0 @ 4.51% ( -0.01) 3-1 @ 4.47% ( -0.01) 3-2 @ 3.94% ( -0.01) 3-0 @ 2.53% ( -0.01) 4-1 @ 1.88% ( -0.01) 4-2 @ 1.66% ( -0.01) 4-0 @ 1.07% ( -0.01) 4-3 @ 0.98% ( -0) Other @ 2.79% Total : 37.12% | 1-1 @ 9.44% ( -0) 2-2 @ 7.02% ( -0) 0-0 @ 3.18% ( -0) 3-3 @ 2.32% Other @ 0.49% Total : 22.44% | 1-2 @ 8.33% ( 0.01) 0-1 @ 5.61% ( 0.01) 0-2 @ 4.95% ( 0.01) 1-3 @ 4.9% ( 0.01) 2-3 @ 4.13% ( 0.01) 0-3 @ 2.91% ( 0.01) 1-4 @ 2.16% ( 0.01) 2-4 @ 1.82% ( 0.01) 0-4 @ 1.28% ( 0.01) 3-4 @ 1.02% ( 0) Other @ 3.31% Total : 40.43% |
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