Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Al Arabi win with a probability of 53.43%. A win for Al Mu'aidar had a probability of 23.77% and a draw had a probability of 22.8%.
The most likely scoreline for an Al Arabi win was 1-2 with a probability of 9.78%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 0-1 (9.2%) and 0-2 (8.47%). The likeliest Al Mu'aidar win was 2-1 (6.14%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (10.62%). The actual scoreline of 2-2 was predicted with a 5.7% likelihood.
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