SM
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Al Gharafa win with a probability of 41.4%. A win for Al Mu'aidar had a probability of 34.87% and a draw had a probability of 23.7%.
The most likely scoreline for an Al Gharafa win was 2-1 with a probability of 8.77%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (7.26%) and 2-0 (5.93%). The likeliest Al Mu'aidar win was 1-2 (7.96%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (10.75%). The actual scoreline of 5-2 was predicted with a 0.5% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Al Gharafa would win this match.
| Result | ||
| Al Gharafa | Draw | Al Mu'aidar |
41.4% ( -0.48) | 23.73% ( 0.15) | 34.87% ( 0.34) |
| Both teams to score 62.13% ( -0.47) |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 60.13% ( -0.64) | 39.87% ( 0.65) |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 37.78% ( -0.67) | 62.22% ( 0.67) |
| Al Gharafa Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 80.43% ( -0.48) | 19.57% ( 0.48) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 48.52% ( -0.79) | 51.48% ( 0.79) |
| Al Mu'aidar Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 77.24% ( -0.12) | 22.76% ( 0.12) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 43.55% ( -0.17) | 56.45% ( 0.18) |
| Score Analysis |
| Al Gharafa | Draw | Al Mu'aidar |
| 2-1 @ 8.77% ( -0.03) 1-0 @ 7.26% ( 0.11)2-0 @ 5.93% ( -0)3-1 @ 4.77% ( -0.09)3-2 @ 3.53% ( -0.08)3-0 @ 3.22% ( -0.05)4-1 @ 1.95% ( -0.07)4-2 @ 1.44% ( -0.06)4-0 @ 1.31% ( -0.04)Other @ 3.22% Total : 41.4% | 1-1 @ 10.75% ( 0.12) 2-2 @ 6.49% ( -0.05)0-0 @ 4.45% ( 0.13)3-3 @ 1.74% ( -0.05)Other @ 0.29% Total : 23.73% | 1-2 @ 7.96% ( 0.06) 0-1 @ 6.59% ( 0.17)0-2 @ 4.88% ( 0.11)1-3 @ 3.93% ( 0.02)2-3 @ 3.2% ( -0.04)0-3 @ 2.41% ( 0.05)1-4 @ 1.45% ( 0)2-4 @ 1.19% ( -0.02)Other @ 3.26% Total : 34.87% |
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