SM
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Al Mu'aidar win with a probability of 42.92%. A win for Al Ahli had a probability of 35.21% and a draw had a probability of 21.9%.
The most likely scoreline for an Al Mu'aidar win was 2-1 with a probability of 8.38%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 3-1 (5.28%) and 1-0 (5.21%). The likeliest Al Ahli win was 1-2 (7.54%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (8.86%). The actual scoreline of 1-1 was predicted with an 8.9% likelihood.
| Result | ||
| Al Mu'aidar | Draw | Al Ahli |
42.92% ( 5.47) | 21.87% ( 0.04) | 35.21% ( -5.51) |
| Both teams to score 69.4% ( -0.62) |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 69.56% ( -0.64) | 30.43% ( 0.64) |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 48.29% ( -0.76) | 51.71% ( 0.77) |
| Al Mu'aidar Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 84.9% ( 1.89) | 15.09% ( -1.89) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 56.36% ( 3.46) | 43.63% ( -3.45) |
| Al Ahli Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 81.73% ( -2.6) | 18.26% ( 2.6) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 50.68% ( -4.62) | 49.31% ( 4.62) |
| Score Analysis |
| Al Mu'aidar | Draw | Al Ahli |
| 2-1 @ 8.38% ( 0.63) 3-1 @ 5.28% ( 0.7)1-0 @ 5.21% ( 0.5)2-0 @ 4.93% ( 0.75)3-2 @ 4.49% ( 0.24)3-0 @ 3.11% ( 0.64)4-1 @ 2.5% ( 0.47)4-2 @ 2.12% ( 0.24)4-0 @ 1.47% ( 0.37)4-3 @ 1.2% ( 0.04)5-1 @ 0.94% ( 0.22)Other @ 3.29% Total : 42.92% | 1-1 @ 8.86% ( 0.12) 2-2 @ 7.12% ( -0.06)0-0 @ 2.76% ( 0.1)3-3 @ 2.55% ( -0.08)Other @ 0.58% Total : 21.87% | 1-2 @ 7.54% ( -0.57) 0-1 @ 4.69% ( -0.24)1-3 @ 4.27% ( -0.74)2-3 @ 4.04% ( -0.4)0-2 @ 3.99% ( -0.59)0-3 @ 2.26% ( -0.57)1-4 @ 1.82% ( -0.51)2-4 @ 1.72% ( -0.34)3-4 @ 1.08% ( -0.14)0-4 @ 0.96% ( -0.35)Other @ 2.86% Total : 35.21% |
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