SM
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Al-Nassr win with a probability of 68.95%. A draw had a probability of 17.4% and a win for Damac had a probability of 13.61%.
The most likely scoreline for an Al-Nassr win was 2-0 with a probability of 9.73%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (9.58%) and 1-0 (8.05%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (7.93%), while for a Damac win it was 1-2 (3.91%). The actual scoreline of 2-0 was predicted with a 9.7% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted a 2-0 win for Al-Nassr in this match and our team at Sports Mole correctly predicted the win for Al-Nassr.
| Result | ||
| Al-Nassr | Draw | Damac |
68.95% ( 0.27) | 17.44% ( 0.02) | 13.61% ( -0.29) |
| Both teams to score 57.06% ( -0.93) |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 66.05% ( -0.79) | 33.95% ( 0.79) |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 44.19% ( -0.9) | 55.8% ( 0.9) |
| Al-Nassr Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 91.07% ( -0.14) | 8.92% ( 0.14) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
| 69.51% ( -0.35) | 30.48% ( 0.35) |
| Damac Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 62.65% ( -0.92) | 37.35% ( 0.92) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
| 25.86% ( -0.92) | 74.13% ( 0.92) |
| Score Analysis |
| Al-Nassr | Draw | Damac |
| 2-0 @ 9.73% ( 0.27) 2-1 @ 9.58% ( 0.03)1-0 @ 8.05% ( 0.27)3-0 @ 7.84% ( 0.16)3-1 @ 7.72% ( -0.03)4-0 @ 4.74% ( 0.07)4-1 @ 4.66% ( -0.05)3-2 @ 3.8% ( -0.11)4-2 @ 2.3% ( -0.08)5-0 @ 2.29% ( 0.02)5-1 @ 2.25% ( -0.04)5-2 @ 1.11% ( -0.05)6-0 @ 0.92% ( 0)6-1 @ 0.91% ( -0.02)Other @ 3.04% Total : 68.95% | 1-1 @ 7.93% ( 0.08) 2-2 @ 4.72% ( -0.11)0-0 @ 3.33% ( 0.13)3-3 @ 1.25% ( -0.07)Other @ 0.21% Total : 17.44% | 1-2 @ 3.91% ( -0.06) 0-1 @ 3.28% ( 0.05)0-2 @ 1.62% ( -0.01)2-3 @ 1.55% ( -0.08)1-3 @ 1.28% ( -0.05)Other @ 1.98% Total : 13.61% |
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