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Saudi Pro League | Gameweek 27
Apr 5, 2024 at 8pm UK
Prince Sultan bin Abdul Aziz Stadium
A

Damac
0 - 1
Al-Nassr


Antolic (40')
FT(HT: 0-0)
Laporte (90+1')
Qassem (41'), Alawjami (69')

Form, Standings, Stats

Last Game: Al Hazem 0-0 Damac
Monday, April 1 at 8pm in Saudi Pro League
Last Game: Abha 0-8 Al-Nassr
Tuesday, April 2 at 8pm in Saudi Pro League

We said: Damac 1-3 Al-Nassr

While Damac have won just one of their last eight matches, Al-Nassr will be full of confidence following three consecutive victories, and we think that the visitors will showcase their extra quality to add three more points to their tally. Read more.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Al-Nassr win with a probability of 60.52%. A draw had a probability of 20.3% and a win for Damac had a probability of 19.15%.

The most likely scoreline for an Al-Nassr win was 1-2 with a probability of 9.85%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 0-2 (8.81%) and 0-1 (8.26%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (9.25%), while for a Damac win it was 2-1 (5.17%). The actual scoreline of 0-1 was predicted with an 8.3% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole and our data analysis both correctly predicted that Al-Nassr would win this match.

Result
DamacDrawAl-Nassr
19.15% (0.012 0.01) 20.33% (0.030000000000001 0.03) 60.52% (-0.036000000000001 -0.04)
Both teams to score 59.34% (-0.079999999999998 -0.08)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
63.05% (-0.116 -0.12)36.96% (0.123 0.12)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
40.86% (-0.127 -0.13)59.14% (0.134 0.13)
Damac Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
67.33% (-0.054000000000002 -0.05)32.67% (0.061999999999998 0.06)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
30.78% (-0.062999999999999 -0.06)69.22% (0.069999999999993 0.07)
Al-Nassr Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
88.13% (-0.040999999999997 -0.04)11.87% (0.047000000000001 0.05)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
62.84% (-0.096000000000004 -0.1)37.16% (0.104 0.1)
Score Analysis
    Damac 19.15%
    Al-Nassr 60.52%
    Draw 20.33%
DamacDrawAl-Nassr
2-1 @ 5.17% (0.0040000000000004 0)
1-0 @ 4.34% (0.018 0.02)
2-0 @ 2.43% (0.0060000000000002 0.01)
3-2 @ 2.06% (-0.0059999999999998 -0.01)
3-1 @ 1.93% (-0.002 -0)
3-0 @ 0.91% (0.001 0)
Other @ 2.33%
Total : 19.15%
1-1 @ 9.25% (0.023 0.02)
2-2 @ 5.51% (-0.0070000000000006 -0.01)
0-0 @ 3.88% (0.023 0.02)
3-3 @ 1.46% (-0.0070000000000001 -0.01)
Other @ 0.24%
Total : 20.33%
1-2 @ 9.85% (0.0050000000000008 0.01)
0-2 @ 8.81% (0.019 0.02)
0-1 @ 8.26% (0.033999999999999 0.03)
1-3 @ 7% (-0.011 -0.01)
0-3 @ 6.26% (0.00099999999999945 0)
2-3 @ 3.92% (-0.012 -0.01)
1-4 @ 3.73% (-0.013 -0.01)
0-4 @ 3.33% (-0.0059999999999998 -0.01)
2-4 @ 2.09% (-0.011 -0.01)
1-5 @ 1.59% (-0.008 -0.01)
0-5 @ 1.42% (-0.0049999999999999 -0)
Other @ 4.27%
Total : 60.52%

Read more!
Read more!
Form Guide
Last Game: Al Hazem 0-0 Damac
Monday, April 1 at 8pm in Saudi Pro League
Last Game: Damac 0-1 Al Khaleej
Friday, March 29 at 7pm in Saudi Pro League
Last Game: Al-Hilal 2-1 Damac
Saturday, March 16 at 7pm in Saudi Pro League
Last Game: Damac 1-0 Al Wahda
Thursday, March 7 at 2pm in Saudi Pro League
Last Game: Damac 0-2 Al Ettifaq
Saturday, March 2 at 2pm in Saudi Pro League
Last Game: Al Fateh 1-1 Damac
Friday, February 23 at 5pm in Saudi Pro League
Last Game: Abha 0-8 Al-Nassr
Tuesday, April 2 at 8pm in Saudi Pro League
Last Game: Al-Nassr 5-1 Al Tai
Saturday, March 30 at 7pm in Saudi Pro League
Last Game: Al-Ahli 0-1 Al-Nassr
Friday, March 15 at 7pm in Saudi Pro League
Last Game: Al-Nassr 4-3 Al-Ain (1-3 pen.)
Monday, March 11 at 7pm in AFC Champions League
Last Game: Al-Nassr 1-3 Al Raed
Thursday, March 7 at 5pm in Saudi Pro League
Last Game: Al-Ain 1-0 Al-Nassr
Monday, March 4 at 4pm in AFC Champions League


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