SM
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Al-Nassr win with a probability of 74.15%. A draw had a probability of 15.7% and a win for Damac had a probability of 10.13%.
The most likely scoreline for an Al-Nassr win was 2-0 with a probability of 11.24%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 3-0 (9.42%) and 2-1 (9.25%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (7.36%), while for a Damac win it was 1-2 (3.03%). The actual scoreline of 2-1 was predicted with a 9.2% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole and our data analysis both correctly predicted that Al-Nassr would win this match.
| Result | ||
| Al-Nassr | Draw | Damac |
74.15% ( 0.03) | 15.72% ( -0.02) | 10.13% ( -0.02) |
| Both teams to score 51.52% ( 0) |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 64.76% ( 0.03) | 35.24% ( -0.03) |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 42.74% ( 0.03) | 57.25% ( -0.04) |
| Al-Nassr Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 91.89% ( 0.01) | 8.1% ( -0.01) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 71.53% ( 0.03) | 28.47% ( -0.04) |
| Damac Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 56.06% ( -0) | 43.93% ( 0) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 19.93% ( -0) | 80.07% ( 0) |
| Score Analysis |
| Al-Nassr | Draw | Damac |
| 2-0 @ 11.24% 3-0 @ 9.42% ( 0)2-1 @ 9.25% ( -0)1-0 @ 8.95% ( -0.01)3-1 @ 7.74% ( 0)4-0 @ 5.92% ( 0.01)4-1 @ 4.87% ( 0)3-2 @ 3.18% 5-0 @ 2.97% ( 0)5-1 @ 2.45% ( 0)4-2 @ 2% ( 0)6-0 @ 1.25% ( 0)6-1 @ 1.02% ( 0)5-2 @ 1.01% ( 0)Other @ 2.9% Total : 74.14% | 1-1 @ 7.36% ( -0.01) 2-2 @ 3.8% ( -0)0-0 @ 3.56% ( -0.01)Other @ 1% Total : 15.72% | 1-2 @ 3.03% ( -0) 0-1 @ 2.93% ( -0)0-2 @ 1.2% ( -0)2-3 @ 1.04% ( -0)Other @ 1.93% Total : 10.13% |
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