SM
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Al-Nassr win with a probability of 41.75%. A win for Shabab Al-Ahli Dubai had a probability of 33.61% and a draw had a probability of 24.6%.
The most likely scoreline for an Al-Nassr win was 2-1 with a probability of 8.88%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (8.45%) and 2-0 (6.52%). The likeliest Shabab Al-Ahli Dubai win was 1-2 (7.83%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (11.5%). The actual scoreline of 4-2 was predicted with a 1.2% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Al-Nassr would win this match.
| Result | ||
| Al-Nassr | Draw | Shabab Al-Ahli Dubai |
41.75% ( 0.05) | 24.64% ( 0.01) | 33.61% ( -0.07) |
| Both teams to score 58.49% ( -0.06) |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 55.52% ( -0.07) | 44.47% ( 0.07) |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 33.15% ( -0.07) | 66.84% ( 0.06) |
| Al-Nassr Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 78.65% ( -0.01) | 21.35% ( 0) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 45.68% ( -0.01) | 54.32% ( 0) |
| Shabab Al-Ahli Dubai Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 74.36% ( -0.08) | 25.63% ( 0.07) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 39.47% ( -0.1) | 60.53% ( 0.09) |
| Score Analysis |
| Al-Nassr | Draw | Shabab Al-Ahli Dubai |
| 2-1 @ 8.88% ( 0.01) 1-0 @ 8.45% ( 0.02)2-0 @ 6.52% ( 0.02)3-1 @ 4.57% ( 0)3-0 @ 3.36% ( 0.01)3-2 @ 3.11% ( -0)4-1 @ 1.76% ( 0)4-0 @ 1.3% ( 0)4-2 @ 1.2% ( -0)Other @ 2.6% Total : 41.75% | 1-1 @ 11.5% ( 0.01) 2-2 @ 6.05% ( -0.01)0-0 @ 5.47% ( 0.02)3-3 @ 1.41% ( -0.01)Other @ 0.2% Total : 24.63% | 1-2 @ 7.83% ( -0.01) 0-1 @ 7.45% ( 0.01)0-2 @ 5.07% ( -0.01)1-3 @ 3.55% ( -0.01)2-3 @ 2.74% ( -0.01)0-3 @ 2.3% ( -0.01)1-4 @ 1.21% ( -0.01)2-4 @ 0.93% ( -0)Other @ 2.52% Total : 33.61% |
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