SM
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Al-Hilal win with a probability of 87.17%. A draw had a probability of 9.3% and a win for Al Riyadh had a probability of 3.5%.
The most likely scoreline for an Al-Hilal win was 0-3 with a probability of 13.74%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 0-2 (13.64%) and 0-4 (10.37%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (4.42%), while for an Al Riyadh win it was 1-0 (1.46%). The actual scoreline of 1-3 was predicted with a 6.7% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole and our data analysis both correctly predicted that Al-Hilal would win this match.
| Result | ||
| Al Riyadh | Draw | Al-Hilal |
3.5% ( -0) | 9.33% ( 0.02) | 87.17% ( -0.01) |
| Both teams to score 36.77% ( -0.16) |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 68.1% ( -0.16) | 31.9% ( 0.17) |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 46.55% ( -0.19) | 53.45% ( 0.2) |
| Al Riyadh Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 38.66% ( -0.15) | 61.34% ( 0.16) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 8.68% ( -0.07) | 91.32% ( 0.08) |
| Al-Hilal Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 95.12% ( -0.03) | 4.88% ( 0.03) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 80.4% ( -0.09) | 19.6% ( 0.09) |
| Score Analysis |
| Al Riyadh | Draw | Al-Hilal |
| 1-0 @ 1.46% ( 0.01) 2-1 @ 1.08% ( -0)Other @ 0.96% Total : 3.5% | 1-1 @ 4.42% ( 0.01) 0-0 @ 2.99% ( 0.03)2-2 @ 1.63% ( -0.01)Other @ 0.29% Total : 9.33% | 0-3 @ 13.74% ( 0.04) 0-2 @ 13.64% ( 0.06)0-4 @ 10.37% 0-1 @ 9.03% ( 0.06)1-3 @ 6.72% ( -0.02)1-2 @ 6.67% ( -0)0-5 @ 6.27% ( -0.01)1-4 @ 5.07% ( -0.02)0-6 @ 3.16% ( -0.01)1-5 @ 3.07% ( -0.02)2-3 @ 1.64% ( -0.01)1-6 @ 1.54% ( -0.01)0-7 @ 1.36% ( -0.01)2-4 @ 1.24% ( -0.01)Other @ 3.63% Total : 87.15% |
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