SM
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Al-Hilal win with a probability of 73.87%. A draw had a probability of 15.1% and a win for Al Raed had a probability of 11%.
The most likely scoreline for an Al-Hilal win was 2-0 with a probability of 9.39%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (9.03%) and 3-0 (8.42%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (6.72%), while for an Al Raed win it was 1-2 (3.23%). The actual scoreline of 3-1 was predicted with an 8.1% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Al-Hilal would win this match.
| Result | ||
| Al-Hilal | Draw | Al Raed |
73.87% ( 0.69) | 15.14% ( -0.16) | 11% ( -0.54) |
| Both teams to score 57.57% ( -1.43) |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 70.59% ( -0.84) | 29.41% ( 0.84) |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 49.52% ( -1.02) | 50.48% ( 1.03) |
| Al-Hilal Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 93.19% ( -0.06) | 6.8% ( 0.06) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 74.91% ( -0.17) | 25.09% ( 0.17) |
| Al Raed Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 61.77% ( -1.49) | 38.23% ( 1.49) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 25.01% ( -1.46) | 74.99% ( 1.46) |
| Score Analysis |
| Al-Hilal | Draw | Al Raed |
| 2-0 @ 9.39% ( 0.39) 2-1 @ 9.03% ( 0.02)3-0 @ 8.42% ( 0.32)3-1 @ 8.09% ( -0.02)1-0 @ 6.99% ( 0.31)4-0 @ 5.66% ( 0.2)4-1 @ 5.44% ( -0.03)3-2 @ 3.89% ( -0.17)5-0 @ 3.04% ( 0.1)5-1 @ 2.92% ( -0.02)4-2 @ 2.62% ( -0.12)5-2 @ 1.41% ( -0.07)6-0 @ 1.36% ( 0.04)6-1 @ 1.31% ( -0.02)Other @ 4.3% Total : 73.87% | 1-1 @ 6.72% ( 0.03) 2-2 @ 4.34% ( -0.17)0-0 @ 2.6% ( 0.12)3-3 @ 1.25% ( -0.11)Other @ 0.22% Total : 15.14% | 1-2 @ 3.23% ( -0.12) 0-1 @ 2.5% ( 0.02)2-3 @ 1.39% ( -0.12)0-2 @ 1.2% ( -0.04)1-3 @ 1.04% ( -0.08)Other @ 1.63% Total : 11% |
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