J1 League | Gameweek 17
Jun 11, 2023 at 6am UK
Denka Big Swan Stadium
Arai (72')
Tagami (67'),
Ito (85')
FT(HT: 0-1)
Toyokawa (28'),
Patric (75', 80' pen.)
Kawasaki (16')
Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Albirex Niigata win with a probability of 51.95%. A draw had a probability of 24.2% and a win for Kyoto Sanga had a probability of 23.8%.
The most likely scoreline for an Albirex Niigata win was 1-0 with a probability of 10.94%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (9.66%) and 2-0 (9.17%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (11.52%), while for a Kyoto Sanga win it was 0-1 (6.87%). The actual scoreline of 1-3 was predicted with a 2.1% likelihood.
| Result |
| Albirex Niigata | Draw | Kyoto Sanga |
51.95% ( -0.34) | 24.25% ( 0.1) | 23.8% ( 0.24) |
| Both teams to score 52.92% ( -0.04) |
| 51.34% ( -0.18) | 48.66% ( 0.19) |
| 29.22% ( -0.17) | 70.78% ( 0.17) |
| 81.29% ( -0.2) | 18.71% ( 0.2) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
| 49.93% ( -0.34) | 50.07% ( 0.34) |
| 65.09% ( 0.12) | 34.91% ( -0.12) |
