SM
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Alfreton Town win with a probability of 59.48%. A draw had a probability of 22.7% and a win for Rushall Olympic had a probability of 17.78%.
The most likely scoreline for an Alfreton Town win was 1-0 with a probability of 12.36%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (11.19%) and 2-1 (9.78%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (10.8%), while for a Rushall Olympic win it was 0-1 (5.97%). The actual scoreline of 1-0 was predicted with a 12.4% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted a 1-0 win for Alfreton Town in this match.
| Result | ||
| Alfreton Town | Draw | Rushall Olympic |
59.48% ( -0.39) | 22.74% ( 0.18) | 17.78% ( 0.21) |
| Both teams to score 48.72% ( -0.14) |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 50.22% ( -0.4) | 49.77% ( 0.4) |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 28.22% ( -0.36) | 71.78% ( 0.36) |
| Alfreton Town Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 83.62% ( -0.27) | 16.37% ( 0.27) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 54% ( -0.49) | 45.99% ( 0.49) |
| Rushall Olympic Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 58.25% ( 0.02) | 41.74% ( -0.02) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 21.79% ( 0.02) | 78.21% ( -0.02) |
| Score Analysis |
| Alfreton Town | Draw | Rushall Olympic |
| 1-0 @ 12.36% ( 0.08) 2-0 @ 11.19% ( -0.02)2-1 @ 9.78% ( -0.02)3-0 @ 6.75% ( -0.08)3-1 @ 5.9% ( -0.06)4-0 @ 3.05% ( -0.06)4-1 @ 2.67% ( -0.05)3-2 @ 2.58% ( -0.03)4-2 @ 1.17% ( -0.02)5-0 @ 1.11% ( -0.03)5-1 @ 0.97% ( -0.03)Other @ 1.97% Total : 59.48% | 1-1 @ 10.8% ( 0.08) 0-0 @ 6.83% ( 0.11)2-2 @ 4.27% ( -0.01)Other @ 0.83% Total : 22.73% | 0-1 @ 5.97% ( 0.1) 1-2 @ 4.72% ( 0.04)0-2 @ 2.61% ( 0.04)1-3 @ 1.37% ( 0.01)2-3 @ 1.24% Other @ 1.86% Total : 17.78% |
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