SM
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Hereford United win with a probability of 38.9%. A win for Alfreton Town had a probability of 34.77% and a draw had a probability of 26.3%.
The most likely scoreline for a Hereford United win was 1-0 with a probability of 9.95%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (8.43%) and 2-0 (6.7%). The likeliest Alfreton Town win was 0-1 (9.3%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.52%). The actual scoreline of 3-3 was predicted with a 1% likelihood.
| Result | ||
| Hereford United | Draw | Alfreton Town |
38.9% ( 0.06) | 26.33% | 34.77% ( -0.06) |
| Both teams to score 52.97% ( -0) |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 48.29% | 51.71% ( 0) |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 26.51% ( -0) | 73.49% ( 0) |
| Hereford United Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 73.99% ( 0.03) | 26.01% ( -0.04) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 38.96% ( 0.05) | 61.04% ( -0.05) |
| Alfreton Town Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 71.59% ( -0.04) | 28.41% ( 0.04) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 35.84% ( -0.05) | 64.16% ( 0.05) |
| Score Analysis |
| Hereford United | Draw | Alfreton Town |
| 1-0 @ 9.95% ( 0.01) 2-1 @ 8.43% ( 0.01)2-0 @ 6.7% ( 0.01)3-1 @ 3.79% ( 0.01)3-0 @ 3.01% ( 0.01)3-2 @ 2.38% ( 0)4-1 @ 1.27% ( 0)4-0 @ 1.01% ( 0)Other @ 2.35% Total : 38.9% | 1-1 @ 12.52% 0-0 @ 7.39% ( 0)2-2 @ 5.31% ( -0)3-3 @ 1% Other @ 0.11% Total : 26.33% | 0-1 @ 9.3% ( -0.01) 1-2 @ 7.88% ( -0.01)0-2 @ 5.85% ( -0.01)1-3 @ 3.31% ( -0.01)0-3 @ 2.46% ( -0.01)2-3 @ 2.23% ( -0)1-4 @ 1.04% ( -0)Other @ 2.71% Total : 34.77% |
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